Royals Moneyline Filled With Betting Value On AL Central Matinee

Kansas City Royals  team talking in field

Sunday, September 18, 2016 4:19 PM GMT

The White Sox and Royals have split the first two of this four-game set in Kansas City. In the third game of the series, we will analyze this matchup and see what the MLB odds makers are dealing on this AL Central matinee.

You would think after going 2-1 yesterday I would be in a fairly affable mood. However, when you break your golden rule and are then reminded why it is indeed a golden rule that shouldn't be broken, you tend to get a bit miffed. The long and short is that I was so agog over the Red Sox, with the recently unhittable David Price on the mound, against the Yankees I not only laid the huge number the MLB odds makers were hanging (-238) but I also bet them on the run line -1 ½ (-125) in my MLB picks. Betting a run line, in case you didn't know, is breaking my golden rule.

Of course, the Sox win 6-5 and I win the money line and lose, as I always do, the run line. Oh, and we also cashed later on with the Cardinals +121 over the Giants. I finally got a dog to bite! So it was a 2-1 day that should have been 2-0 but I had to go back to the buffet line and get a plate of food I didn't need but had to have. Nevertheless, we are now over 21 units on the season based solely on one unit bets and looking good headed into the homestretch.

Royals Postseason Hopes Fading
The Kansas City Royals are the reigning kings of baseball but will most likely have to abdicate their thrones in about two weeks from now. At that point, the division winners will be decided and the two American league wildcard teams will be declared. As of this writing, the Royals have nine teams above them vying for five playoff spots. The chances are not good for Kansas City to defend their World Series title but that doesn't mean they are mathematically eliminated...yet.

Kansas City snapped a five-game tailspin yesterday with a 3-2 victory over their AL Central rivals, the Chicago White Sox. The Royals offense has been quiet, averaging just about three runs per game over their last seven contests, and currently ranks in the bottom third of the league in runs scored, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. Yet curiously the team ranks 9th in team batting average with a .261 average on the season. Getting on base does no good if you can't bring those runners home.

Betting Analysis
At first blush, you look at this afternoon's Royals' starter Danny Duffy (11-2, 3.17, 1.05) and stare at his record. Eleven wins with only two losses and undefeated (in terms of pitching decisions) at Kauffman Stadium with a 6-0 record. In his 13 home starts the Royals are 10-3 (+6.3 units) which is still a handicapper's dream. But on the flipside, we have Chicago's Jose Quintana (12-10, 3.05, 1.11) who had lights out start at home against the Indians in his last start where he held Cleveland to one run on five hits in his eight innings of work leading to an 8-1 victory.

The White Sox' starter Quintana is 1-8 when starting against the Royals with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.253. His team's record is 5-16 (-12.8 units) in these starts. Meanwhile, KC's Danny Duffy is 5-2 when starting against the White Sox with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.114. His team's record is 10-3 (+7.3 units) in these starts.

The pitching advantage goes to Kansas City but Quintana cannot be underestimated because he can be dominating when in a groove and keep in mind, the Royals aren't exactly tearing the cover off the ball. Yet Danny Duffy has been terrific at home and if one team desperately needs this game, it's the Royals because the White Sox have been relegated to playing the role of the spoiler at this point in the season.

Free MLB Pick: Royals -115
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline
Swinger's MLB Record: 76-52, +21.14 units

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