MLB Picks: Valuable 'Under' As Marlins & Dodgers Meet In Clutch Pitching Match-Up

Thursday, April 28, 2016 11:48 AM GMT

Miami Marlins' Jose Fernandez faces Los Angeles Dodgers' Kenta Maeda in a toe-to-toe pitching match. Take a look at our capper's andgle before making your MLB pick for this game.

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB odds have this game set at 6.5 on the total line at most places. For one of my MLB picks I am going to back under the total like at Pinnacle -105. Both these pitchers can be very difficult to put up runs against and I believe we are looking at around a 3-1 final score.

Miami Marlins
Jose Fernandez takes the mound for Miami with a 4.37 ERA and 1.28 whip with the Marlins hitting .267 as a team which ranks sixth in major league baseball. Fernandez has electric stuff but has been on and off this season after coming back from injury. However, his hit totals have been fantastic allowing just 18 hits in 23 innings of work along with 32 strikeouts. He might not go too deep into the game tonight but the Miami bullpen has been one of the better ones in baseball with a 3.03 ERA.

At the plate with Giancarlo Stanton back the Marlins look to improve quite a bit from last season. Still, they are only averaging 3.79 runs per game which ranks 19th in the league despite their decent batting average and their 9.26 hits per game which ranks fifth in the league. Tonight will not be easy for them as they face arguably the hottest pitcher in the National League. I mentioned earlier in the season how high I am on Maeda after watching him pitch first hand and I think Miami will have a tough time putting together enough quality at bats to light up the scoreboard.

Los Angeles Dodgers
Kenta Maeda starts for the Dodgers with a stunning 0.36 ERA and 0.87 whip in four major league starts with the Dodgers averaging 4.71 runs per game which ranks eighth in the major leagues. Maeda's sharp start might surprise some people but not me, and for proof just check out a video I did before his second start of the season. I had multiple opportunities to watch him pitch the last few years in Japan and he was always lights out, just dominating. Of course he will get hit eventually but he will be one of the top pitchers in the league in my opinion over the next few seasons as he hits his prime.

The Dodgers have been pretty consistent at the plate hitting .254 as a team which ranks 12th in the league and averaging 8.86 hits per game which ranks them ninth. They do tend to strike out a bit much though averaging eight per game which puts them in the middle of the league and against a big strikeout pitcher like Fernandez they will probably not put too many solid at bats together.

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Free MLB Pick: Under 6.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage