Low Quality Pitching Will Keep Rangers & Angels Bats Hot In Tuesday's Rematch

Tim Lincecum

Tuesday, July 19, 2016 1:52 PM GMT

The Texas Rangers have made more money than anyone, but the baseball odds weren't kind to them Monday night against the Los Angeles Angels. They'll try again Tuesday.

Texas Rangers vs L.A. Angels
Is it time to dump the Texas Rangers from your betting portfolio? It may have been the time a few weeks ago. The Rangers (55-39, +22.39 units) are still in first place in the AL West, and they're still the most profitable team in the majors, but they've dropped 12 of their last 16 games, including Monday's 9-5 come-from-ahead loss to the Los Angeles Angels (–114 at home).

Texas might have a harder time in Tuesday's rematch (10:05 p.m. ET) at Angel Stadium. At press time, the Angels (41-52, –11.15 units) are –120 favorites on our MLB odds boards and they've got a two-time Cy Young winner taking the mound against the Rangers. Okay, it's Tim Lincecum (5.23 FIP), but still. Would you prefer Kyle Lohse and his 8.36 FIP at this point?

Walt Disney Must Feed
To be fair, neither pitcher has racked up much of a sample size yet: 23.2 innings for Lincecum, five for Lohse. But both gentlemen are coming off disappointing 2015 campaigns that saw them lose their jobs. Lincecum gave the San Francisco Giants just 0.3 WAR in 15 starts, while Lohse was more hindrance than the help for the Milwaukee Brewers at –0.1 WAR in 22 starts.

Any chance there's a low total on this game? Big bucks, no whammies... well, nine runs isn't the biggest total on the board. And you'll have to pay –130 to put the OVER in your MLB picks. Might not be a bad idea; after a strong 2016 debut, Lincecum has failed to deliver a quality start in his last four games, and Lohse was lit up for six runs in his 2016 debut, losing 8-6 to the Minnesota Twins (+129 away) on July 9. He hasn't pitched since then because of tightness in his right oblique. Fresh meat, in other words.

Fantasy Corner
Even better for our purposes, current Texas batters have put the boots to Lincecum, going 21-for-55 lifetime at the plate with 13 walks, three homers, and a collective 1.351 OPS. Sweet cuppin' cakes. Unfortunately for would-be fantasy owners, the only somewhat-available Ranger with a significant number of at-bats against Lincecum is Prince Fielder (.634 OPS), and he's got eight hits this month.

How about some L.A. lumber, then? The Halos have a .797 OPS against Lohse, but again, not much of that pop is available on the waiver wire. Everyone needs a catcher, though, and prospect Jett Bandy (.715 OPS) is about to get a lot more playing time after Geovany Soto was put on the 15-day DL Monday with an inflamed left knee. Bandy had a .813 OPS last year at AAA-Salt Lake before getting a cup of coffee with the parent club. He's worth a test drive.



Free MLB Pick: OVER 9 (–130)
Best Line Offered: at Bet365
Record: 18-16 ML, 5-3-1 Totals (+4.47 units)

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