Free MLB Picks: How To Cash In Your Rockies vs. Giants Ticket

Monday, July 4, 2016 11:00 AM GMT

The Colorado Rockies will meet the NL West leading Giants to kick off a three-game series in San Francisco. Let's peruse the MLB odds and notch another winner this afternoon.

It is important never to get too high or too low in this business but I can't help but marvel at the season we have had thus far. Our record stands at 44-23 after yesterday's winner, when the Phillies downed the defending World Series champion Kansas City Royals by the score of 7-2. Good, bad or indifferent we continue to post a legitimate and documented record throughout the 2016 MLB campaign.

Fortunately for us, our MLB Picks have been mostly good and we are not relying on huge favorites or releasing 500 unit plays to get even when we find ourselves in a tailspin. It has been one unit per play and that strategy has us up over 21 units so if you're a $100 player then you find yourself flush with over two dimes in your pocket as you prepare to celebrate the 4th of July. Let's keep it going with another winner and party in style.

Colorado Rockies (37-44, -4.00 units)
The Rockies were swept by the Dodgers over the weekend and have now lost their fifth straight game. Colorado is freefalling in the NL West, now trailing the San Francisco Giants by a whopping 13 ½ games and we are barely at the midpoint of the season. In startling contrast to their record, the Rockies offense is among the best in the business as they rank 5th in team batting average (.271), 4th in run production (420), 5th in on base percentage (.335) and 3rd in slugging percentage. Some might argue that it is indeed the thin air of Coors Field giving those stats a boost and while that may be true you cannot argue that this offense, led by Carlos Gonzalez and boasting four players with double digit home runs, has been lethal. Naturally then it is the pitching that has been so dismal and has led to their subpar record. Colorado is ranked 29th of 30 in pitching and has a team ERA of 5.13.

Southpaw Tyler Anderson (0-2, 2.66 ERA, 1.31 WHIP) will get the starting assignment in this Independence Day matchup for the Rockies. Anderson last pitched against the Blue Jays and allowed three runs (two earned) on eight hits in a 5-3 loss in Colorado. Anderson has not faced the Giants in his career.


San Francisco Giants (52-32, +14.90 units)
The Giants have won three of their last four including yesterday's 5-4 victory over the Diamondbacks in the desert and are now tied for the best record in baseball with their American League counterpart, the Texas Rangers. The Giants offense is ranked 10th in run production and 4th in on base percentage while their pitching is 6th in the league with a team ERA of 3.64 and holding opposition batters to a .248 batting average.

Veteran Jake Peavy (4-7, 5.33 ERA, 1.45 WHIP) takes the hill for the Giants and will try to vanquish the memory of his struggles in his last start against the Rockies. Peavy was rocked for six runs on 11 hits in four innings of work which resulted in a 10-6 loss to Colorado back on April 13th.

Betting Analysis
Jake Peavy took the loss in Oakland last Wednesday when he allowed seven runs (three earned) on five hits and two walks with no K's over 3 plus innings of work in the 9-1 setback to the Athletics. Yet, for those that watched that game it was plain to see that his team's defense was far more a liability than his pitching. Only three of those seven runs were earned and errors kept him pitching longer and in more precarious situations than necessary.

The Colorado bats are struggling mightily despite their lofty perch among the league's best lineups. In three games against LA over the weekend the Rockies managed just two runs and were outscored 15-2 in that series. In addition, they are contending with the injury to wunderkind rookie Trevor Story and his 19 home runs complemented by his 50 RBI who will most likely be sidelined this afternoon.

I see Jake Peavy finding redemption in this game with a defense behind him that realizes they done him dirty in his last outing. The Giants are among the best in the league at scoring runs and preventing them. Therefore, with the Colorado offense being squelched recently it is hard not to back the NL West leaders. As we review the MLB Odds we find Pinnacle with the most favorite friendly odds in this contest.

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Free MLB Pick: Giants -141
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle
MLB Record: 44-23, +21.53 units