Desperation & Starting Pitching Clearly Favors Mets Tonight

Met's pitcher Seth Lugo

Sunday, September 4, 2016 4:59 PM GMT

Our MLB analyst breaks down Sunday night’s game between the Nationals and Mets. Go inside to read this illuminating betting article culminating with an MLB pick.

Washington Nationals (Lopez) vs. New York Mets (Lugo)
The nationally televised Sunday night ESPN from Citi Field in New York will pit a couple of NL East rivals against one another. The Nationals and Mets will square off for a 16th time this season. Washington currently holds a 10-5 advantage in the season series, and 9 of those 15 games went under the total.

Notable Team Trends
Sunday will be the rubber match of a three game weekend set. New York came away with a 3-1 win yesterday, and Washington took the series opener on Friday by a score of 4-1. By the way, since 2015, New York is a superb 37-14 (.725) following a home win by 2 runs or less.

Current MLB betting odds at BetOnline indicates that the Mets are a -125 money line favorite, and Washington is +115. Those money line parameters are significant when it comes to each team's recent betting histories. New York is an extremely profitable 79-45 (.637) since 2015 when they're -100 to -150 on the money line. Conversely, Washington has gone an abysmal 22-46 (.323) during that precise time period as a money line underdog of +100 or greater. By the way, speaking of Betonline, they're rated one of the best sportsbooks per a highly credible rating guide.

Starting Pitchers
Both teams will send rookie right-handed pitchers to the mound on Sunday. It will be each of those young hurlers first time facing tonight's opponent.

Washington's Reynaldo Lopez has been shaky in his only five starts of 2016, evidenced by a hefty 5.33 ERA and 1.70 WHIP during those outings.

Seth Lugo of the Mets has been impressive in just three starts this year. Lugo compiled a stellar 2.55 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over that short course of time.

Final Analysis
The Mets are a resurgent 10-4 during its last fourteen games. While doing so, they surpassed Miami for second place in the NL East. Furthermore, they find themselves just 1.0 game behind St. Louis for the final National League wild card spot. On the other hand, Washington has a sizable 9.5 game lead over New York, and hasn't been legitimately threatened regarding the division's top spot for about two months now. That being said, desperation, urgency, and starting pitching clearly favors the Mets tonight, and they'll be one of my Sunday MLB picks.

Free MLB Pick: Mets -117
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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