Angels vs. Rays To Keep Score Lower Than MLB Oddsmakers Suggest

Thursday, July 7, 2016 11:29 AM GMT

Neither Angels and Rays are looking like playoff teams at this point. Today when they meet they have two good pitchers starting and MLB odds might have set this total too high.

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MLB odds have total for this game at 9 (at Pinnacle +102). For my MLB pick, I'm going to back under the total and look for both of these southpaws to have quality starts. Neither team is particularly strong offensively so we should see fewer runs than oddsmakers anticipate.

Los Angeles Angels
Hector Santiago gets the start for Los Angeles and comes in with a 4.93 ERA and 1.34 WHIP with the Angels hitting .267 as a team which ranks eighth in the major leagues. Santiago's numbers don't really match up with his ability and he has been really solid recently with just a couple hiccups. In his last start against Boston, a game in which we backed him, he was excellent allowing four hits in six innings and no earned runs. In fact in three out of his last four starts he has been solid allowing a total of two earned runs off of nine hits in 18 innings. He has just had a few bad outings this season that has hurt his overall numbers but I look for him to springboard off his start in Boston to come into Tampa Bay with a lot of confidence and pitch well. At the plate, the Angels are highlighted by ranking first in the major leagues in the least amount of strikeouts per game as a team but after that, they are mostly subpar. Currently, they rank 15th in runs per game, 16th in OPS, and 18th in total bases.

Tampa Bay Rays
Blake Snell takes the mound for Tampa Bay and comes in with a 3.86 ERA and 1.71 WHIP with Tampa Bay hitting .241 as a team which ranks 25th in the major leagues. Snell has had a tough go of it so far this season but has kept the run totals down for the most part although his WHIP is a bit too high. Looking at his schedule though he has faced some of the best hitting teams in the major leagues with his last four starts going against Seattle, Cleveland, Boston, and Detroit. Tampa Bay is pretty high on the 23-year-old but he has walked too many guys so far this season. That could be problematic today against a Los Angeles team that likes to work the count, however, he has kept the hit totals decently low and has the capability of limiting Los Angeles to just a few runs. In his five major league starts, he has only allowed one home run which is impressive considering the teams he has faced so far this season. At the plate, Tampa Bay ranks as one of the worst teams in the major leagues ranking in the bottom part of the league in most categories. They rank 25th in runs scored, batting average, and hits per game. They do have a bit of power ranking fifth in home runs per game but Santiago is not known for giving up the long ball consistently.

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Free MLB Pick: Under 9 +102
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle