NCCAF Picks Of The Day - Friday, November 3rd, 2016

Boise State Broncos players running into the field

Thursday, November 3, 2016 6:36 PM GMT

Mismatches dominate Friday's NCAA Football slate as there're 3 overall games with decisive favorites. Take the points or lay the points? We will discuss which direction to take as we provide the betting public with our NCAA Football Picks of the Day for Friday.

San Jose State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos

Blowout City?

This game might not be competitive as the Broncos are a whopping 29 point betting favorite, but it's the biggest game on Friday's slate as quarterback Brett Rypien and the Boise State Broncos are the only top 25 ranked team in action on Friday.

With a Boise State team that averages 321.5 yards per game passing and a Spartans defense that allows 35.1 points per game, this game isn't about who wins? It's about how much will Boise State win by? That said, Boise State is coming off of their lone loss of the season, a 30-28 mini-upset loss to a very good Wyoming Cowboys team. How will they react here?

A Statement Game

Against Wyoming, except for one Brett Rypien interception, the Broncos didn't do anything to hurt their chances of coming up with a "W". Wyoming was just up for the task at home and administered the Broncos their first loss of the season as they outgained Boise State by a mere 2 yards.

Against San Jose State, the Broncos take a dramatic drop in the level of opposition and we should see Boise State take out their frustrations on a defense with more holes than Swiss Cheese.

A well balanced offensive attack is difficult to defend against and the Boise State offense is a mirror image of the NFL's Pittsburgh Steelers. They have a star in Brett Rypien (2359 yards, 15 TD, 6 INT's) at the quarterback position, a 1000 yard runner in Jeremy McNichols, and prolific receiver in Thomas Sperbeck (870 yards, 7 TD's). McNichols is the table-setter in this Broncos offense as he's reached the endzone 14 times via the run and also has 390 yards and 4 TD's receiving. Rypien has a ton of offensive options to choose from and look for the Boise State offense to beat up on he Spartans defense.

Last week, quarterback Kenny Potter and the San Jose offense bounced back quite nicely after the beating that they took at the hands of rushing great, Donnel Pumphrey and the San Diego State Aztecs, but Boise State has more talent at the key positions and more incentive to win.

Free NCAAF Pick: Boise State Broncos -29 (-110)

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Central Michigan Chippewas vs Miami (OH) RedHawks

RedHawks = Value?

I don't know about that because a loss is a loss, but the RedHawks have managed to run off 3 consecutive wins after an awful start to the season and are just 1 game behind Ohio University in the East Division of the MAC Conference. The RedHawks actually sport a winning record in the conference and face a Central Michigan team which is coming off of 2 disappointing losses.

Undefeated

Quarterback Gus Ragland is a perfect 3-0 since taking over for starter Billy Bahl and although he hasn't been flashy,he's gotten the job done and produced victories. Ragland has been turnover-free and that's a major part of the battle in the key to winning football games. In his 3 starts, Raglund has thrown for 571 yards with 6 TD's and 0 INT's.

The RedHawks don't have a major go-to guy as leading running back Alonzo Smith has just 481 yards on 3.6 yards per carry and leading receiver, James Gardner, just like Billy Bahl, is out with a shoulder injury.

Keep an eye on the injury updates in case Gardner decides to give it a go.He's coming off of a 120 yard receiving performance in a win over Bowling Green and would definitely be a key player in the Miami offense if he's able to play. The RedHawks will need junior, Jared Murphy, to step up as the lead receiver. Murphy is coming off of 9 reception, 122 yard effort against Eastern Michigan.

Storybook Career

We've been talking about the recent success of the RedHawks, but let's not forget that Central Michigan has a decisive advantage at the quarterback position as senior quarterback, Cooper Rush has thrown for almost 12000 yards in his collegiate career to go along with 88 career touchdown passes. Rush has remained effective in his senior season with 22 TD's passing although his offensive line leaves a lot to be desired.

Look to see a lot of Cooper Rush to Corey Willis in this game. Willis has caught at least 6 passes in each of his last 7 games to go along with reaching the endzone in 3 out of his last 4 games. The Chippewas don't have a dominant rushing attack, but Devon Spalding (652 yards, 3 TD) is good enough to control the tempo of the game depending on how many carries that he receives.

While the RedHawks have found some newly gained confidence, CMU is still the far superior team for your week 10 NCAAF picks.

Free NCAAF Pick: Central Michigan Chippewas -3.5 (-110)

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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