College Football Week 12: Colorado State To Cover Hughes Stadium Finale Vs. New Mexico

Colorado State Rams football

Thursday, November 17, 2016 3:31 PM GMT

New Mexico has a chance to play in the Mountain West title game if the Lobos win out and things break right for them elsewhere. But they are 4.5-point underdogs on college football odds for Saturday's game at division-rival Colorado State.

Lobos Run, Run And Run More

Former Notre Dame coach Bob Davie has done a fine job at New Mexico. This was one of the worst programs in the nation when he took over in 2012. Davie led UNM to a seven-win season last year and the school's first bowl game since 2007. And another bowl game is on tap with New Mexico at 7-3 overall and 5-1 in the Mountain West. That latter record is tied for first in the Mountain Division with Boise State and Wyoming. The Lobos lose a head-to-head tiebreaker with Boise and they host the Cowboys next week. It's highly unlikely that Boise State loses this week at home vs. UNLV but it certainly could next week at Air Force.

UNM is an option team that enters on a five-game winning streak. It won at Utah State last week, 24-21, on a 40-yard field goal by Jason Sanders with 1:06 to go. The Lobos rallied from a 21-6 third-quarter hole. Teriyon Gipson rushed 18 times for 107 yards and a TD. New Mexico rushed the ball 57 times for 249 yards and threw it only 17 for 154. It was only the fifth time this year the school topped 100 yards passing. New Mexico leads the nation in rushing by a mile at 347.8 yards per game. It's the fourth-highest total in the nation in the last nine years were it to stand at the end of the season.

New Mexico's five-game winning streak ties for its longest in the last 20 seasons (2004). UNM is 5-5 ATS on college football odds this year (3-2 ATS on road)

Rams Say Goodbye To Home Field

Colorado State (5-5, 3-3 MW) better win this game to get bowl eligible because it will be a sizable underdog next week at West Division champion San Diego State. CSU has made a bowl game three years in a row.

CSU had a two-game winning streak end last Saturday at Air Force, 49-46. Colorado State was driving and receiver Michael Gallup caught a pass to convert a first down with around 1:25 remaining, only to have the ball stripped and lost. A shame for Gallup as he had one of the best games in school history with 13 catches for 213 yards and a touchdown. In his last five games, Gallup is averaging 132.2 yards with a touchdown in each outing.

The Rams had a season-high 559 yards of offense in the loss, with QB Nick Stevens throwing for a career-high 374 yards and tailback Dalyn Dawkins running for 102 yards and two TDs. It was the first game in CSU history with a 300-yard passer, 200-yard receiver and 100-yard rusher. The problem was that Colorado State allowed Air Force to gain 534 yards (485 rushing) and score a season-high point total.

Colorado State is 8-2 ATS this season on college football picks (4-1 ATS at home). This is the final game at CSU's Hughes Stadium, where the Rams have won 15 of their past 19. It is being replaced by a new stadium that's on Colorado State's campus. The Rams haven't lost to New Mexico since 2009. Last year it was a 28-21 score.

NCAAF Free Pick: Colorado State -4.5

Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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