College Football Predictions Against The Spread - Florida Intl vs. Charlotte

Florida International Panthers Take the field

Thursday, October 13, 2016 5:01 PM GMT

Joe Gavazzi is back with another of his 'Hidden Gems' selections for week 7 of college football. This weekly NCAAF picks currently has an awesome record of 5-1 ATS, so you know that's easy money. 

Florida Int (-5) vs Charlotte 6:00 ET

Charlotte is the new kid on the big board. In just their 2nd year as a pointspread team, the Niners returned 18 starters in consecutive seasons. Last year, operating on the big board for the first time as a CUSA East member, the 49ers went 2-10 SU, 2-9 ATS failing to post a CUSA victory. In fact, the Niners' only victories came in the first 2 games of the season by identical (23-20) scores against Sun Belt rep, GA State, and FCS member, Presby.

Following those 2 wins, the ensuing 10 losses saw 8 of them be by double-digit margins. When the dust cleared, the 49ers were being outscored by an average of 36-17 per game. That was hardly unexpected, considering their lack of experience. This year, the Niners have already posted a pair of victories. The first came against FCS, Elon, while the 2ndcame last week on Sunday at Florida Atlantic. It was a contest in which the Owls' team, fans, and players were still reeling from the effects of Hurricane Matthew. But, the 28-23 rare victory sets up a situation akin to a blind hog finding an acorn. It is a virtually guaranteed letdown spot, much as their 37-19 home underdog loss to E. Michigan following the Elon win. In short, it is simply difficult for bad teams to put together back to back wins. Though the Niners continue to make progress, they have posted just 3 pointspread victories since the Georgia St.' win to open 2015.

This week, they host an FLA Int'l team, who may quickly become the HIDDEN GEM of the 2016 season. We are looking to come to the party early and grab some easy cash before the line moves. The Golden Panthers entered this season with ample talent and returning experience, especially on the offense that gave their fans hope of a potential .500 season. HC Ron Turner had taken the Panthers from 1 to 4 to 5 wins in the previous 3 seasons. But, the bottom fell out in the month of September with a 0-4 SU ATS record, leading to the firing of Ron Turner and the upgrading of Ron Cooper (the former DC) as the new head man.

Cooper has HC experience in the ‘90s at E. Michigan and Louisville. Apparently, this is a change for the better. With Cooper at the controls, the Panthers have gone 2-0 SU ATS with victories vs. Florida Atl. and last week at UTEP (35-21) each as 5 point underdog. The Panthers have averaged over 200 yards per game, both running and passing, including 528 yards overland. The biggest improvement, however, has come on the defensive side of the ball, where the opposition gained an average of only 329 YPG, after gaining 394 YPG in every other game.

Concerns are clearly that FIU is able to handle the role change to favorite after being an underdog in the first 6 games. But, with a schedule that at least allows hope for a .500 season and potential Bowl bid, it is worth an investment to back the Panthers, and the momentum they have created, against a fledgling opponent who is in a letdown spot the following victory. Despite the rare role of road chalk, note that the Panthers were actually 17 point home favorites in their 48-31 win against Charlotte last season. I invite you to put the College Football ODDS in your favor and join me in my College Football PICK on Florida Int'l this evening.

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Free College Football Pick: Florida Int -5

Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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