Not a lot of big games this week, but if you are betting college football, a few really entertaining possibilities that could be used as upsets, which have spread and money line possibilities.
Doug's Record For These Upset Plays (17-15-1 ATS)
Our college football picks come from the SEC, AAC and the Big 12 and frankly, really like the chances of all four of the selections made.
SEC Schools Ready to Be Heard
LSU emptied their bucket in loss to No.1 Alabama and now has to travel Arkansas and is listed as touchdown favorite. We witnessed just how good the Tigers defense can be, but what do they have left for an Arkansas squad that just hung 466 yards of offense on a very good Florida defense, including 223 on the ground. If the Hogs can slow the LSU running game, the +240 ML is worth consideration.
Not sure what I'm missing here, but shocked to see Missouri go from -1 to -3.5 over Vanderbilt. Missouri is 2-7 and it's best win is against Eastern Michigan! The Tigers are winless in conference and have beat the spread once. With a victory in Columbia, the Commodores are one win from bowl eligibility and six of nine contests have been decided by a touchdown or less, plus, they have the superior defense. Taking the points or +155 ML makes sense for a Vandy squad that is 9-1 ATS off a road loss.
Anchors Aweigh My Boy, Anchors Aweigh
This is fight song for the Navy which was written in 1906 and the lyrics were later updated in 1997. The Midshipmen once again have a good football team and are tied with Tulsa, whom they are facing this week, for first place in the AAC West. The winner controls destiny to the title game. This contest opened as a Pick, with the Golden Hurricane moved to -1 or -1.5 depending on the sportsbook. While we respect the Tulsa offense, the Navy just grinds down teams mentally and physically with their option offense and let's not forget the Middies are a sharp 10-1 ATS at home.
More Trouble In Texas?
The Longhorns have won two straight, nonetheless, the defense is still quite vulnerable, especially against the pass and West Virginia arrives in Austin with a vertical attack averaging 8.4 yards per attempt, which is 18th in the country. The Mountaineers lone setback came two weeks ago at Oklahoma State, with a 3-0 turnover margin doing them in. With Texas up and down and 0-7 ATS after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards the last three seasons, grabbing the +2 seems like a prudent decision.