College Football Picks: 4 Underdogs To Win Outright In Week 6

BYU Cougars Players Celebrate

Friday, October 7, 2016 7:18 PM GMT

Every Saturday upsets are common here and there, those who catch early them can really bust their book. Doug Upstone provides some college football picks of underdogs that could ring their opponents bell.

After scouring the college football odds I found some interesting value at A+ rated Bookmaker, I have four underdogs on Saturday than can win outright.

Doug's Record For These Upset Plays (6-6-1 ATS)

Big Ten Home Dogs Who Can Get

I can actually understand why football bettors pounded Maryland and moved them from +1 to -2.5 point road favorites. The Terps have an excellent game that averages 300 yards a game and Penn State, because a lack of talent and injuries to linebackers, is conceding 217 YPG on the ground. Maryland is playing better than they have in years with 4-0 start, but coach James Franklin knows a loss here and with Ohio State on deck, his tenure as Nittany Lions coach could be closing without more victories. Penn State's passing game keeps Maryland off balance and the home teams posts a W.

The other home dog that can win outright for college football picks is Minnesota. I know my reasoning might not make sense after what I said in the previous paragraph, but here me out. Iowa is allowing 183 YPG on the ground, it's worst figure since Kirk Ferentz second-year at Iowa City (2000). What do the Golden Gophers do best? Rush the pigskin, to the tune of 228 YPG. Why would I like it here but not with Maryland? Home field advantage and urgency. This is Minnesota's biggest rival and believing they can do the job, plus, the Gophers have covered six straight off a Big Ten loss.

Notre Dame In Great Role

Sportsbooks opened Notre Dame as a one-point road favorite, but bettors have seen enough the Fighting Irish pass defense and have flipped them to +3 at N.C. State. The Wolfpack are averaging almost 300 yards through the air and should have a field day right? N.C. State will get their yards and a good amount of points, but the Notre Dame offense is even better with more weapons. In Kelly's career, his team's are 30-15 ATS as underdogs and the Irish have gotten better in October, which explains 9-2 ATS mark on the road this month. Notre Dame gets it done, somehow.

BYU in Another Close Contest

If Michigan State was playing another Big Ten team this week after losing two in a row, I might well be inclined to take them with a comparable spread. However, they are not and while I have no doubt the Spartans want to win, other than Notre Dame game with two weeks to prepare, Michigan State is very ordinary looking. At some point BYU will either win or lose by more than a touchdown and have to say I am very impressed with the moxie of this team, never quitting when it looks like they should. I can see the Cougars hanging around in East Lansing because the Spartans do not have passing offense to pick apart BYU secondary and Sparty is 0-8 ATS out of conference when favored by 28 or fewer points. Two-point game either way.

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