College Football Expert Picks - NC State Wolfpack vs Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals Players In Action

Tuesday, October 18, 2016 9:01 PM GMT

Ross Benjamin has gone 16-9 ATS (64%) at our site the past 3 weeks with his college football picks. Go inside to read his betting preview article on Saturday’s Louisville/NC State game.

College Football Week 8 Odds: North Carolina St. vs. Louisville

#7 Louisville entertains North Carolina State in an ACC battle on Saturday at Noon ET. At the time of this writing (10/18), the college football betting odds at Bookmaker have Louisville listed as a 20.0-point favorite, and there's a posted total of 50. Bookmaker is widely regarded to be one of the top online betting sites.

Since joining the ACC, Louisville is 2-0 versus NC State, and that includes last year's 20-13 win as a 2.5-point road underdog.

Heartbreaking Loss for Wolfpack

NC State was right on the cusp of a monumental upset as a sizable 21.0-point underdog a week ago at #3 Clemson. However, they missed on a potential game-winning chip shot field goal attempt as time expired, and proceeded to lose 24-17 in overtime. They find themselves in an almost identical situation this week, facing a top 10 team on the road. How they respond after that gut-wrenching loss last Saturday is one of the underlying stories pertaining to this matchup. That defeat snapped a 3-game win streak, and on a positive note, the Wolfpack have covered in each of its past 4 games.

Flat Spot for Cardinals Last Week

Louisville turned in a lackluster performance last Friday during a 24-14 home win over Duke. The Cardinals didn't come close to covering as a massive 35.0-point favorite. As a matter of fact, after Duke scored a touchdown with 6:34 left to play in the 4th quarter, they narrowed their deficit to just 17-14. Nevertheless, Louisville followed by going on a drive that took 5:22 off the clock, and resulted in a touchdown with just 1:32 left to play. After watching NC State nearly knock off Clemson last week, the Cardinals should have no excuses in terms of being mentally prepared.

College Football Betting Angle Favors Louisville

Any conference home favorite of 13.5 to 32.0 (Louisville), coming off a conference win in which they failed to cover as a home favorite of 27.0 or more, versus an opponent (NC State) coming off a conference game, resulted in those home favorites going an extremely successful 24-2 ATS (92.3%) since 1980.

This is a rare betting algorithm which backs a sizable home favorite in a conference game. It certainly weighed in heavily when making one of my college football week 8 predictions.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.

Free College Football Pick: Louisville -20

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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