The San Jose Sharks take on the Ducks of Anaheim tonight, in the animal kingdom this wouldn’t be a matchup worth writing about but the NHL odds makers have it close.
Record 2-3 losing 0.91 units, we look to turn this around and get posting the wins. Good luck with your wagers.Five star graded play on the San Jose Sharks AND the ‘under’ as they take on the Anaheim Ducks set to start at 10:00 PM ET.
My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Sharks will win this game. The simulator has graded both the San Jose Sharks
and the ‘under’ as five star NHL picks
so consider parlaying these two together for maximum profit.
Supporting the ‘UNDER’ play is a system that has produced a record of 61-21 ‘under’ for 74% winners since 2005. Play ‘under’ with road teams where the total is 5.5 goals revenging a close loss versus current opponent of 1 goal or less and after a home game where both teams score three or more goals.
Breaking this system down into the criteria presented we see that San Jose won their last game 5-3 versus Phoenix
and the last time they played the Ducks they lost 1-0 in a pick-em line on January 9. In the series, seven of the past eight games played at Anaheim have played ‘under’ the posted total.
Anaheim had built up some momentum entering the week off for the All-Star break winning 10 of their last 13 games and the last four wins were by one goal. San Jose went 5-0-1 over their last six games and are opening up a season-high seven game roads trip tonight. Managers and head coaches in all sports want their teams fully prepared to get the first win of a lengthy road trip. It is far more difficult to reverse losing results and poor play then anything else when teams play on the road. Power Play Units
Both teams have tremendous power play scoring units and both teams will play cautiously on the defensive end to minimize power play opportunities for their opponents. San Jose ranks 4th best on the power play scoring on 22.5% of their opportunities. Anaheim ranks second best on the power play scoring on 24.4% of their man advantages this season. Logan Couture
Arguably the best player on the ice tonight will be San Jose’s rookie Logan Couture, who is certainly the front runner right now for winning the Calder Cup award. He leads the Sharks and all rookies with 22 goals. He is a complete ice hockey player and ranks in the top-5 of all major offensive stats for NHL rookies. He has recorded rookie bests with 6 game-winning goals, six power-play goals, and ranks fourth best with a +11 ice time rating. The Power Play favors San Jose
I strongly believe that San Jose will have more power play opportunities than Anaheim. San Jose is a far more finesse and ‘cleaner playing’ type of team than Anaheim ranking 18th getting 11.98 penalty minutes per game. Anaheim, on the other hand, ranks 3rd in penalty minutes getting nailed for 15.35 minutes per game. Although I don’t see numerous penalties being issued tonight, the numbers will favor San Jose. In a game where the defenses will play not to give up a goal nor give up a man advantage this will be the dominant reason the game is won by San Jose and why the game will play ‘UNDER’. Free NHL Pick:
Take San Jose and the ‘UNDER” for five star graded plays each.