While the West Division remains wide open, Montreal has the East title already in their hip pocket. The Alouettes host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers this week looking for win #12 on the season.
Calgary (-11) at Hamilton (57)
Friday, Oct 24, 7:30 p.m. (ET)
The first place Calgary Stampeders roll into Steel Town for an East Division showdown with the 3-13 SU Hamilton Tiger-Cats. The Stamps have never been a good road favorite and this is the first time since 1996 Calgary has been labeled double-digit road chalk. However, the Stamps are in a bad betting spot here with the BC Lions on deck next week and that game could determine first place depending on the outcomes this weekend.
Hamilton has been more competitive with Quinton Porter at QB and I feel the Stampeders play down in class this week and it affects their whole game plan. Play the home dogs here.
Ron’s forecast: Calgary-31 Hamilton-23
Stampeders at Tiger Cats History: 6-6-0 (ATS) 5-7 (SU) 6-6-0 (O/U/P)
ATSCalculator.com: Calgary to win by 18.86 pts and the o/u to land on 57.33.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When Hamilton plays as a +10.0 or more underdog and coming off a game where they allowed between 28 to 31 points in their last game, the Tiger-Cats are 7-3-0 ATS in this role since ’96.
Edmonton (54½) at Saskatchewan (-3)
Saturday, Oct 25, 7:00 p.m. (ET)
Edmonton has always been a great football franchise in the CFL. They recruit well and have 13 Grey Cups to their record, but they’ve always had their problems with the Green Riders in Regina.
Since 1996, the Eskimos are 5-12 SU vs. Saskatchewan at Mosaaic Stadium and they enter this game with the Roughriders winning eight of the last nine head-to-head matchups. The Riders are coming off a nail bitter win over the 3-13 Tiger Cats, but they found a way to win the game and they are 10-6 SU for a reason. No matter who’s at QB for the Riders this weekend, they have the defense to keep Ricky Ray and his offense at bay and the Roughriders are 8-3 SU as a home favorite during the month of October (Weeks 16-20).
Ron’s forecast: Saskatchewan-33 Edmonton-26
Eskimos at Roughriders History: 6-11-0 (ATS) 5-12 (SU) 12-5-0 (O/U/P)
ATSCalculator.com: Edmonton to win by 4.06 pts and the o/u to land on 54.27.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When any CFL home team, playing on Saturday before a non-division game, scored 30 points or more in their last game and coming off a home win as a favorite, the home team is 11-1-0 ATS & SU in this situation since ’97.
Toronto (54) at British Columbia (-15)
Saturday, Oct 25, 10:00 p.m. (ET)
Wonder what kind of round Rich Stubbler shot in golf yesterday? What a complete and utter mess this once proud Toronto Argonauts franchise is. If you ask my opinion, the Argonauts need to distance themselves as far as possible from the Rogers Centre and get involved with a Canadian University program. Get real football people running the management side of the operation and not recycled dinosaurs who just bring in their buddies that got axed at their old job.
If there’s one thing that bothers me with the CFL, organizations continue to recycle former coaches and GM’s who have no history of winning, while you have coaches in the CIS like Glen Constantin of the Laval Rouge et Or who might go down as the best CIS coach of all time.
As for this game, it’s tough to handicap a team that has thrown in the towel, quit on their coaches and riding a seven-game losing streak. The BC Lions have a big game on deck vs. Calgary, so the Under might be worth a shot here. Here’s a word of advice to David Cynamon and Howard Sokolowski: Get out of the Rogers umbrella and partner up with a CIS school!
Ron’s forecast: BC-29 Toronto-16
Argonauts at Lions History: 7-6-0 (ATS) 6-7 (SU) 7-5-1 (O/U/P)
ATSCalculator.com: BC to win by 17.62 pts and the o/u to land on 54.65.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: Any CFL road underdog during Weeks 16-20 and coming off two ATS losses, the road dog is 13-5-1 ATS in this role since ’96.
Winnipeg (55) at Montreal (-8½)
Sunday, Oct 26, 1:00 p.m. (ET)
The Alouettes wake up call a few weeks ago vs. Hamilton might have been the game that wins Montreal the Grey Cup. Montreal has been one of the most consistent football teams in the CFL this season and the Blue Bombers are 3-15 SU in Montreal since 1996.
This is a bad situation for the Bombers in this spot; they are 1-15 SU as a road underdog when the total is 54½ or more after a non-division game. Plus, the Alouettes are 8-2 (80%) the last three years at home in October.
Ron’s forecast: Montreal-44 Winnipeg-8
Blue Bombers at Alouettes History: 8-9-1 (ATS) 3-15 (SU) 11-5-1 (O/U/P)
ATSCalculator.com: Montreal to win 16.58 pts to win and the o/u to land 55.32.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When MONTREAL team played as Home team as a Favorite - Coming off a Road win as a Favorite; The OVER is 9-2-0 for the Alouettes in this role since ’96.