The Montreal Alouettes are on a good run and they face a Hamiton team that hasn't won since August. Meanwhile out west, Edmonton's still mad about a cheap shot last week.
BC Lions (-9½) at Toronto (50½)
Friday, Oct 3, 7:00 p.m. (ET)
The Argonauts keep releasing veteran players and are basically doing an inventory reality check on their current football team to see what they have in stock. Since August, the Lions have turned things around, either losing by seven or less ot winning their football games. The Argos are at home this Friday and it looks like Kerry Joseph will get the start this timen and it’s tough to gauge on how his reaction will be on the field, after having his stripes removed a few weeks ago.
Don Matthews is a good football coach, but he’s realized he doesn’t have the horse to move the cart right now. The Lions are on a four-game winning streak, but are only 1-2 SU as a road favorite this season, so there is a letdown spot here for the Leo’s. The Under is 15-7-0 for the BC Lions as a road favorite the last three seasons and 9-4-0 when they play a game at the Rogers Centre since 1996.
If you’re looking at playing the side, this could be considered a trap game for the Lions, as the Argos have only been labeled a +7½ or more underdog six times since 1996 and they are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in this role. Gun to my head, play the Under!
Lions at Argonauts History: 7-6-0 (ATS) 6-7 (SU) 4-9-0 (O/U/P)
Ron’s Forecast: BC Lions-34 Toronto-16
ATSCalculator.com: Lions by 21.14 pts and the O/U to land on 54.26
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When British Columbia plays on the road coming off a game in which they scored 40 points or more, the Under is 12-3-0 for the Lions since 1996.
Calgary (-4) at Saskatchewan (53)
Friday, Oct 3, 10:00 p.m. (ET)
Parity in the CFL's West Division is very much alive and if there’s one thing you need to be looking for in sports betting, it’s value!
As much as the sky is falling for the Roughriders right now on their three-game losing streak, keep in mind they’ve played three of their last four games on the road. Winning road games in pro sports is a very difficult task and it seems pressure is building around the Green Riders faithful, as they are calling for Ken Miller’s head in the prairies.
The Stamps have won four in a row, six of their last seven games, but they are going into Calgary as a road favorite. In fact, the last time that happened was July 5th 2002; they entered the game as a -2 road favorites and lost the contest 32-21. The Stamps have not done well as a road favorite the last two years; they are 1-6 SU and ATS. Play the Roughriders as a +4 home dogs this weekend.
Stampeders at Roughriders History: 11-9-0(ATS) 11-8-1 (SU) 11-9-0 (O/U/P)
Ron’s Forecast: Saskatchewan-26 Calgary-24
ATSCalculator.com: Stampeders by 6.4 pts and the O/U to land on 51.91
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When any CFL team is a -3½ to -6½ favorite before a division game and after a non-division game, coming off a single Over, the favorite is 10-2 SU in this role since 1996.
Montreal (-10) at Hamilton (55)
Saturday, Oct 4, 4:00 p.m. (ET)
How can anybody with a right frame of mind bet against Anthony Calvillo and the Montreal Alouettes at this time of year? The last time the Ticats won a football game was in August, Reggie Williams was QB and they blew away the Argos 45-21.
Montreal has won their last three games in Hamilton by 23, 9 and 18 points, and six of the last seven games went under the total. Montreal has won seven of their last eight football games, the Grey Cup is in Montreal this season and I’ve got the feeling they are really pushing hard to keep momentum going to win the Grey Cup in their city.
Montreal gets the job done, but expect the Tiger Cats to keep it close for three quarters. Play the Under.
Alouettes at Ticats History: 12-7-0 (ATS) 10-8-1 (SU) 6-12-1 (O/U/P)
Ron’s Forecast: Montreal-28 Hamilton-17
ATSCalculator.com: Alouettes by 20.5 pts and the O/U to land on 56.98
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When any CFL team plays as a +10 or more underdog, coming off two games that went under the total, the Under is 13-5-0 for the underdog in this role.
Winnipeg (54) at Edmonton (-4)
Saturday, Oct 4, 7:00 p.m. (ET)
The Bombers are fuming over the helmet to head hit on Kevin Glenn by Eskimos linebacker Agustin Barrenechea in the final minutes of last week’s game. Barrenechea was only fined and should have been suspended for his violent hit, and this is a black eye on the CFL commissioner who’s not protecting his QB’s in a QB-driven league. Granted, football is a violent sport, but eventually jaywalkers will get hit and killed too!
As for the game itself, I look for emotions to run high in the first half and look for the head coaches put more emphasis on winning the game in the second half. Edmonton is coming off a two-game road trip in which they lost both games, but they are a different football club at Commonwealth Stadium.
The Under is 4-0-0 for the Blue Bombers as a road underdog this season and I expect to see each team trying to control the match via the running game. As much as I respect the Blue Bombers' current winning streak, the Eskimos are 5-1 SU at home, average 35.67 points and they find ways to win at home.
Blue Bombers at Eskimos History: 8-6-1(ATS) 4-10-1 (SU) 10-5-0 (O/U/P)
Ron’s Forecast: Edmonton-24 Winnipeg-22
ATSCalculator.com: Eskimos by 1.32 pts and the O/U to land on 53.14
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When any CFL team plays on the road on Saturday, with seven days off, before a division game and coming off a game in which they scored 30 points or more, the road team is 11-4-0 ATS in this spot since 1997.