After sifting through the NFL odds for this week's matchups, have we managed to locate a couple winners? Find out which plays we are looking to add to our Week 5 NFL picks
. You might be surprised at who we like.
As always, the NFL continues to surprise each and every
There seems to always be an upset or two, and Week 5 should
prove to be no different. Looking over the Week 5 NFL odds, we see that the biggest favorites this week are the New York
Giants (-10.5 versus Cleveland) and the San Francisco 49ers (-11 versus
We're not touching those favorites though. Find out which games we have decided to play on.
Check out all of SBR's NFL picks for this week.
Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals
After witnessing their team get dismantled 44-13 by the
Baltimore Ravens in Week 1, Bengals fans couldn't have been too optimistic.
However, Cincinnati has responded beautifully, winning three
straight to put themselves at 3-1. The Bengals enter Week 5 having gone 2-1-1
ATS thus far, with their spread victories coming over the last two weeks in
road wins over Jacksonville and Washington.
Andy Dalton is following up a mighty impressive rookie
campaign with even more productive play this season.
Dalton's already thrown for 1,111 yards in four games and
has totaled eight touchdown passes and four touchdown runs while getting picked
off four times. His 103.0 rating ranks him fifth in the NFL among all
I expect Dalton and A.J. Green to torment a putrid Dolphins
secondary this weekend, especially since Joe Philbin's team has been so good at
stopping the run. Miami is allowing 297.8 yards per game through the air, the
third-highest mark in football.
The Dolphins, quite simply, are not built for shootout games
and that's what Dalton and company will try to make this. They know Ryan
Tannehill and the Miami offense will have a tough time hanging around if that's
how this one ends up.
Cincinnati should be amped up to be back at home for the
first time in three weeks and I think they'll take care of the 1-3 Dolphins
without much difficulty.
Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -3.5
Cleveland Browns vs. New York Giants
The public knows the Giants are coming off a gut-wrenching
loss to the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday Night Football and will likely be all
over them against the winless Browns in Week 5.
I'm staying away.
New York tends to do exactly the opposite of what the
majority expect them to do. With a tough road game against San Francisco coming
up in Week 6 (a revenge spot from last year's NFC title game), I could see the
Giants not taking Cleveland as seriously as they should.
The Browns may not have won a game yet, but they've been
relatively close each and every week. They lost to Philadelphia by a point and
to Cincinnati and Baltimore by seven. That's three tough football teams right
To boot, it's not like Cleveland is void of talent. Trent
Richardson has looked fantastic now that he's fully healthy and should continue
to get better and better as the season progresses.
Richardson could have a big day against a Giants defense
that's allowing 118.3 rushing yards per contest, while fellow rookie Brandon
Weeden also seems to be growing more confident as he adjusts to life in the
The Browns have also had an extended period to rest up and
prepare for this game at MetLife. They've been off since last Thursday. I think
Cleveland will be ready to go this weekend and therefore will add them as
Pick: Cleveland Browns +10.5
Who do we think NFL bettors should be fading in Week 5?