Week 13 in the NFL has two games that have people debating particularly heavily, and both involve home underdogs of close to a field goal. It’s a classic betting situation, always involving a road team significantly better than the home team, by definition, but not one, necessarily, with value. 

The SBRtv Experts’ Panel takes a look at the particular factors involved with two such games coming up in Week 13.


St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals



Arizona and QB Derek Anderson put on a widely-seen pathetic performance last Monday night, which has led the public to bet St. Louis Rams heavily as a road favorite. The Rams are 8-3 ATS on the year, but have only been a favorite once this year, and they’re new to this year’s winning and covering ways. Still, the line has not yet moved in Arizona’s direction, indicating that so far, the sharp money has not seen value with the Cards as a home underdog.



Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers



Tampa Bay has played competitively this year, but they still have yet to beat a team with a winning record. The Atlanta Falcons has impressed lately, which has led them to be hyped by fans and mainstream football media alike.

This sets up for an interesting betting scenario, where some see the Falcons as outclassing the Bucs, and as such, having value as a small favorite, while others see a classic trap situation where the books will get loaded with bets on Atlanta which are more likely to lose than to win.



Further Picks and Leans From Week 13



The two games host Peter Loshak presented to the panel were admittedly ones with tough NFL betting odds to get a read on. But to end the Week 13 NFL preview, Scott Kellen and John Ryan identify lines they see as having value from the rest of the card.