This could be the game of the year between two of the AFL's biggest rivals. Take the points on the Philadelphia Soul on the road when they meet the Dallas Desperados on Saturday.
Philadelphia cost AFL bettors in a big way their last time out when the Soul fell at home to the Kansas City Brigade, 54-47, as 17-point home favorites. The shocking loss was their third in their last four overall games, but they played with a number of their superstars sidelined on both sides of the ball during that stretch.
[articleBanner]who2beton[/articleBanner]Last week's Bye allowed them to lick their wounds and heal up for this crucial Eastern Division clash. QB Tony Graziani, DB Mike Brown, LB Rod Davis and DL Bryan Save will all be back for this big game at Dallas this Saturday night. Philly has won four of its six road games SU and gone 3-3 ATS.
The Desperados seem to have found their stride after picking up decisive wins at both Orlando and Cleveland the last two weeks. The Desperados raised their record to an AFL-best 11-2 on the arm of QB Clint Dolezel, who took advantage of good protection to complete 28-of-38 passes for 252 yards and eight touchdowns. The win allowed Dallas to clinch a third-straight playoff appearance.
After severely costing AFL bettors from late March to mid May, Dallas secured pointspread victories in each of the last two weeks to claw one game 0ver .500 at 7-6 ATS. They currently sit atop the Eastern Division one game ahead of Philadelphia, but the Soul owns the tiebreaker after they mauled the Desperados at home back in Week 9
This will be the 10th matchup between these division rivals in series history, and the second this season. Philadelphia embarrassed the Desperados back in Week 9 at home in a game that was televised live on ESPN2. The 57-28 final still doesn’t reflect how dominant Philly was even though they won the game by 29-points and crushed the 4½-point spread. The 85 combined points saw the under cash with relative ease. Dallas holds 5-4 SU and ATS advantages throughout their first nine battles, and they’re 3-1 SU and ATS when they’ve welcomed the Soul to Dallas.
Overall, this series has been higher scoring with the over cashing in six of the nine games, but the defenses have stepped up of late to allow the under to go 2-1 ATS their last three meetings.
The Despo’s certainly look to be the choice in this spot after they were bet from one-point pups at the open to four-point favorites. They get to host the Soul off their bye exactly like Philly did Dallas in Week 9. Even though the Soul have scuffled of late, I believe them to be the best team in the Eastern Division if not the entire league. They’ll be playing with a full deck for the first time in a month, and I’m still not sold on Dallas’ mental capacity after they’ve failed in this scenario so many times over the years. If DB Eddie Moten snags another Dolezel pass, look out. Dolezel folded like a cheap suit in their Week 9 battle after Moten made him look like a chump, and Clint has already proven to me that he’s a crybaby and quitter when things don’t go his way.
It’s risky after what Philly did to this club earlier this season, but grab the points with the team I believe grades higher in mental capacity.
Free Pick: Soul +4 (-110)