Free NFL picks and predictions for Super Bowl XLVIII, as the Denver Broncos face the Seattle Seahawks. Which Super Bowl odds look to offer us the best value at this point in time?
Sportsbooks aren’t all too thrilled about the Super Bowl
matchup. That’s because the favorites usually take the most preseason action as
far as Super Bowl futures go and the matchup in Super Bowl 48 is a meeting of
two favorites. One way or another, it’s likely the books will be paying out
much more than they would like for futures this season.
Seahawks vs. Broncos Early Odds Report
Here’s a look at how the futures odds changed throughout
the season for both teams and an early look at a couple of props.
The Denver Broncos were the 2014 Super Bowl favorite
after the 2014 NFL Draft, in the preseason and for the most part, they
maintained their standing throughout the season. Their NFL odds moved around a
little bit from 15/2 after the Draft to 6/1 in the preseason, but they were
clearly the favorite in the AFC all season long and the Super Bowl favorite in
most sportsbooks the entire way.
Nowadays, the Broncos are a -130 favorite to win Super
Bowl 48 and that’s just on the moneyline. It goes to show the difference in
payout for those who had faith: a number of smart bettors invested when they
were +600 or +750 and can now either comfortably hedge or ride it out.
There are a number of interesting dynamics in play here
such as the fact that the Broncos will have to brace the cold in New York. That’s
more likely to affect how their offense operates as they rely on the passing
game more so than the how the Seahawks operate, which is more reliant on the
ground game. The bottom line is this is another classic matchup of offense
versus defense and on February 2nd, we’ll see who comes through.
The Seattle Seahawks weren’t the odds-on NFC favorite at
the beginning of the season but they quickly grew into that role. They were 9-1
after the draft and 17-2 in the preseason, but they were still second in line
on the odds to the San Francisco 49ers. That didn’t last long, though. Only
until Week 2, to be exact, because that’s when the Seahawks pummeled the 49ers
29-3 at home and moved into the NFC favorite role. From that point, the
Seahawks carried the flag for the NFC all the way into the Super Bowl.
The Seahawks are now a small underdog in the Super Bowl
(about +110) and are going to have to slay one more giant to win the Lombardi
Trophy. The public will probably be all over Peyton Manning and the Broncos,
foreseeing it as a quest of destiny. However, defense does win championships
and the Seahawks definitely have the better unit. They might also get their
secret weapon back just in time for the Super Bowl: Percy Harvin. He might be
the x-factor that gives the Seahawks offense just the boost it needs to get
over in this game.
Early Super Bowl
Some of the early wacky props are already trickling in
from sportsbooks but none are overly enticing. We’ve got the basics so far:
who’ll win the coin toss, will the coin land heads or tails and will the team
that wins the coin toss win the game.
As far as the proper in-game props, there are a number of
intriguing lines. The Broncos team total is set at 25.5 while the Seahawks are
at 23. Keep in mind that the Seahawks didn’t allow 26 points in a game all
season long. In the race for the first team to score and the first team to 10
points, the Broncos are favored in both cases.
We also see some
props on the first scoring play with ‘Denver Touchdown’ being favored, followed
by ‘Seattle Touchdown’ and ‘Denver Field Goal’. Another interesting props is
‘Team to Score First Wins’ where ‘Yes’ is favored. The Seahawks climbed out of
a 10-0 hole to win the NFC Championship Game, so they’re probably fine with
playing and winning from behind.
Make sure you continue to check-in with your
as you’ll find a slew of the entertaining props start pouring in
throughout the week.