The Cleveland Browns will attempt to win three consecutive games for the first time since winning four in a row to end the 2009 campaign, as they prepare to take on the Kansas City Chiefs. Let’s take a closer look at this AFC affair from a NFL betting perspective.
Moving past tragedy
Kansas City snapped an eight-game losing streak by
earning an emotional 27-21 win over the Carolina Panthers as 5.5-point home
underdogs, while going OVER the the NFL betting lines for the first time in four contests. The Chiefs are still dealing with the loss of
linebacker Jovan Belcher, who killed his girlfriend at home and then took his
own life in front of the team facilities. The franchise is 2-3 against the spread (ATS) off an upset win as a home
underdog since 2010, with the UNDER going 4-1 in those affairs.
Can Browns continue their winning ways?
Cleveland has won back-to-back games for the first time
this year, coming off a 20-17 victory over the Oakland Raiders as one-point
road favorites, while going UNDER the total for the fifth time in six
contests. The Browns won the statistical
battle by 46 yards due to gaining 475 total yards, which was the team’s highest
such total since 2007. The team is 0-2
ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two-plus years, with both
games going OVER the total.
Charles continues to deliver
Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles was likely affected
more by the tragedy more than any person in the locker room, as his wife was
first cousins with Belcher’s live-in girlfriend. He ran for 127 yards on 27 carries against the
Panthers, putting him over the century mark in rushing yards for the third time
in four weeks. Kansas City will need to
win the ground game on Sunday to have a chance, as it prepares to go up against
a defense that ranks 16th in the NFL in allowing 115.6 rushing yards per game.
Weeden is flying under the radar
NFL rookie quarterbacks are enjoying great success during
the 2012 regular season, which is definitely reflect in this week’s pro
football betting odds. Cleveland’s
Brandon Weeden scored his fourth victory against the Panthers, tying him with
Bernie Kosar for the most wins in franchise history by a rookie
quarterback. The former Oklahoma State
Cowboys star has thrown for 300-plus years in three games this year, while he’s
found a new target in fellow rookie Josh Gordon, who set career highs with six
receptions and 116 receiving yards last week.
Low-scoring games in December
Weather forecasts are currently suggesting rain showers
and game-time temperatures in the low-50s on Sunday, which may cause both
offenses to be cautious with the football. The UNDER is 0-8-1 in the Browns last nine games in December, while the
Chiefs have fallen short of the number in six of their last nine tries in that
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Browns as
one of their NFL picks against the spread this week, as the Chiefs may resort
back to turning the ball over at a high rate this week. Kansas City will fall to 0-3 ATS as a road
underdog of 3.5 to 7 points this season.
NFL Week 14 Pick: Cleveland Browns -5.5 at Pinnacle