Arizona comes into this game 1-0 defeating the Rams 17-13 and covered as 3 three point favorites. The Falcons had a tough assignment in Pittsburgh and lost in overtime 15-9.

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Both Arizona and Atlanta struggled with consistent execution on offense with Arizona gaining a 'smoke and mirrors' 378 total yards and Atlanta gaining 295 total yards.

Atlanta will have a far easier time on offense facing an Arizona defense that has a suspect defensive front. Atlanta was 6-2 SU and ATS in home games last season.

The Cardinals fumbled seven times losing four of them and committed 10 penalties. Quarterback Derek Anderson was just 22 of 41 passing and the offense turned the ball over twice deep in Rams territory.

The two best defensive plays in the entire game were made by a Cardinals offensive player. RB Tim Hightower fumbled the ball and it was picked up by Rams cornerback Bradley Fletcher. He was chased down by wide receiver Steve Breaston. He tackled him at the Cardinals 32-yard line and after three anemic Ram plays the Cardinals special teams blocked the field goal.

The better effort and the one you saw shown multiple times on all of the major networks was when Anderson was hit and fumbled and defensive tackle Clifton Ryan scooped up the ball at the Cardinal 23-yard line. Breaston came flying up behind and forced the ball loose at about the four yard line. Cardinal center Lyle Sendlein recovered the ball in the end zone for a touchback. The score at the time of that play was the Rams 13 Cardinals 10. Breaston easily accounted for saving 10 Ram points. Still, the Rams are that bad a team, that the Cardinals escaped with a victory.

Atlanta is a far superior team than the Rams and the Cardinals would need to play nearly perfect to stay within seven points of the Falcons. The Cardinals are extremely thin at WR and this will allow the Falcons to apply pressure on nearly every passing down. The Falcons White rushed for 111 yards on just 13 carries and we see strong reasons that they will have a huge day on the ground. Atlanta has a very high probability of rushing for 125 or more yards in this game.

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In past games Arizona is 9-43 ATS (-38.3 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards since 1992. In a near reverse situation Arizona will have a difficult time establishing the run. I do not see them getting even close to 100 rushing yards. In past games Atlanta is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 75 to 100 rushing yards over the last 2 seasons. Even the game last week works in favor of the Falcons noting they are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 14 points or less in their last game over the last 3 seasons.

With Arizona expected to have difficulty establishing drives and scoring points the 'under' may the play. Atlanta will be able to get out to 14 to 20 point lead and once accomplished they then can take a no risk approach on offense. Defensively, they can sit in their cover-2 and cover-3 schemes and defend the pass. In this situation it will be even more difficult for the Cardinals to score points. Here is a supporting system that has gone 42-14 ATS for 75% winners playing the football betting 'under' since 1983. Play under with any team against the total and after 1 or more consecutive losses and won between 51% to 60% of their games last season and playing a team that had a winning record.