The Dallas Cowboys have a 1-4 spread record in their last five games, while doing just enough to lead the NFC East Division. They now find themselves in a revenge spot with Saturday’s home matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles, who handed Dallas a 34-7 defeat in an Oct. 30 clash with their rival.

Sportsbooks opened the Cowboys as three-point favorites, with early NFL betting ‘steam’ on Philadelphia driving the number south to 1 ½. NFL odds makers first set the ‘total’ at 50 ½, remaining unchanged after initial wagers were mixed. 

Cowboys end skid in Tampa 

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas CowboysDallas ended a two-game losing streak with last Saturday’s 31-15 victory as a seven-point road favorite against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Cowboys lit up the board for a 28-0 halftime lead, with that span’s four touchdowns all coming in the red zone.

Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo connected on 23-of-30 passes, finishing with 249 yards through the air. The three-time Pro Bowl selection guided the offense to 28 first downs, controlling the ball for a sizable 38 minutes. 

Dallas’ defense held Tampa Bay to 190 total yards, allowing just one trip inside the 20-yard line. Cornerback Orlando Scandrick recorded one of his squad’s three sacks, while logging a team-high five tackles. 

The contest’s combined 46 points ducked below the closing ‘total’ of 47, bringing the ‘under’ to 3-1 in Dallas’ last four games. Cowboys running back Felix Jones notched a season-high 22 carries en route to 108 rushing yards. 

Eagles soar at home 

Philadelphia logged its second straight win in Sunday’s 45-19 triumph as a three-point home favorite against the New York Jets. The Eagles began the affair with a stretch of 28 unanswered points, including defensive end Juqua Parker returning a fumble 47 yards for a touchdown. 

Eagles quarterback Michael Vick threw for 274 yards, completing 15-of-22 passes. The 31-year-old took in one touchdown himself, while backfield mate LeSean McCoy reached the end zone three times as part of his 18 carries for 102 yards.

The Eagles’ defense allowed 241 total yards, with 147 coming through the air. Defensive end Jason Babin logged three sacks, while mates Asante Samuel and Jamar Chaney grabbed one interception each. 

The lopsided affair’s combined 64 points leaped above the ‘total’ of 44, lifting the ‘over’ to 3-1 in Philadelphia’s last four games. Eagles tight end Brent Celek caught five passes for a season-high 156 receiving yards, including one sizable 73-yard strike. 

Back Dallas as the home ‘chalk’ 

Michael VickSaturday’s kickoff is schedule for 4:15 p.m. (ET). Jones is listed as “questionable” for Dallas due to a hamstring injury, while Samuel (hamstring) and DeSean Jackson (elbow) are “probable” for Philadelphia. 

I am adding the Cowboys to my NFL Picks as they are out for revenge, laying the short premium at home. Dallas is 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings with the Eagles at the “Jerry Dome,” outscoring Andy Reid’s club in that stretch by a combined margin of 85-44. 

The Cowboys have held visiting foes to 16.6 PPG in their last five home games. Dallas is 22-9-2 ATS in its last 33 home dates when opposing squads with losing road records. 

Romo’s present passer rating of 102.6 ranks the signal caller fourth in the league behind Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers (120.1), New Orleans’ Drew Brees (109.1) and New England’s Tom Brady (106.7). Look for the Cowboys to rely on an air attack if Jones is unable to start in the backfield. 

Philadelphia has been overvalued after high-scoring spots, with Vick and Co. going 0-5 ATS in their last five games that followed notching at least 30 points. The Eagles have logged a 2-6 spread mark in their last eight road games on turf, including a 31-14 defeat as three-point road ‘chalk’ on Dec. 1 in Seattle. 

My Picks: Go against the early ‘steam’ here and grab the value with Dallas, who gets an extra day of rest while having this spot circled for nearly two months.