Tonight the Virginia Tech Hokies and Clemson Tigers will battle to keep their ACC Tournament runs alive. See what the sportsbooks odds makers have on offer for us, and why we have decided to play on the total in this ACC affair.

Join me in the NCAAB with John Ryan thread and get all of the latest facts, research, and plays for all the tournament action straight through to the Final Four. There are posters in the thread that also contribute their own NCAA Basketball handicapping expertise and you can add to it and take advantage of the opportunities discussed and analyzed.

10* graded NCAA Basketball pick taking the “OVER’ in the game seeing Clemson take on Virginia Tech in ACC tournament action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. Neither of these teams are going to the Big Dance even with a win in this game. Virginia Tech is 15-16 and just 4-12 in ACC conference action. Clemson is 16-14 and 8-8 in ACC conference action. The winners of this game gets the four seed Florida State Seminoles and if somehow either of these teams would post a huge upset and defeat them, they would then arguably face No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels. 

College Basketball Betting Line

Virginia Tech vs. Clemson TigersNCAA Basketball odds makers opened the total for this game at 119 ½ -110, where early sports betting action has quickly moved it to it's current price of 121 ½ -110. The intriguing part of this line movement is despite the fact it has risen, the type of rise has me more confinement and bullish that this will be a high scoring game. The reason is simple.

Of all of the bets being made at the twelve NCAA Basketball betting shops I monitor, 75% of the plays have been on the ‘under’. This means that with only 25% of the best made on the ‘over’ the line has risen 2 ½ points. That reflects the fact that there have been some very large bets made on the ‘over’ to more than offset the 75% of the bets taking the ‘under’.

Simulator Projections

My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that 125 or more points will be scored in this game. It further projects that Virginia Tech will make between 72 and 78% of their free throw attempts and make between 38 and 45% of their three point shot attempts. In past games, Virginia Tech is 13-4 ‘OVER’ when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last three seasons. Clemson is 42-25 ‘OVER’ when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their three pointers in a game since 1997.

Game Situations

The Hokies are coming off of four straight losses, with the last one a 70-58 home loss to NC State and failed to cover as 1 ½ point favorites. Hokies are a strong 8-1 ‘OVER’ off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last three seasons. Clemson head coach Brownell is a solid 33-18 ‘OVER’ in road games after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in all games he has coached since 1997.

My Pick: Take the ‘over’ for a 10* Titan Play