Kansas St,Texas A&M,Big 12
2/7/2009 4:00:00 PM
Kansas State is playing well entering today's Big 12 tilt on the road at Texas A&M. But the Aggies have been too tough at home this year for the Wildcats to pull the upset.
Kansas State is on a roll with four straight wins but the Wildcats have caught some breaks with both road wins coming in OT. In the previous two road games Kansas State had lost badly against Nebraska and Kansas, and keep in mind the Wildcats needed OT to beat a lousy Colorado team and the win over Texas is not as impressive as you might think as the Longhorns have been sinking fast.
Kansas State has been impressive at home but a few fluky wins does not make a strong case for the Wildcats on the road. Kansas State is 3-12 ATS in the past 15 conference games and the Wildcats are 3-5-1 ATS away from home this season.
Texas A&M enters this game off a close loss at Oklahoma but the Aggies played the Sooners as tough as anyone has this season losing by six in both meetings. That cover was the fourth straight ATS win for Texas A&M and the home loss to the Sooners is the lone S/U home loss for A&M in 14 home games this season.
This Aggies team has plenty of talent and big-game experience and the Aggies easily disposed of similarly rated teams at home beating Oklahoma State by 12, Texas Tech by nine, and Baylor by 11. Both teams played fairly weak non-conference schedules but Texas A&M has wins over Arizona, Alabama, and LSU in addition to respectable play through a much tougher conference slate at this point in the season.
Free Pick: Texas A&M -3½ (-110)