The North Carolina Tar Heels might be ranked in the Top 10 at the moment, but they might be in for a surprise tonight as they face ACC foe Wake Forest tonight. Find out why we have set a 20* pick on the Demon Deacons tonight.

20* graded NCAA Basketball pick on Wake Forest as they take on North Carolina in ACC action set to start at 9:00 PM ET.  No. 6 North Carolina comes into this game with an 18-3 record and are 5-1 ACC in ACC conference play tied with the No. 5 Duke Blue Devlis and No. 24 Florida State. Wake Forest has posted an 11-10 season record and are 2-5 in ACC conference play ranking in ninth place in the 12-team conference.  

North Carolina is fresh off of a 93-81 home win over Georgia Tech where they failed to cover as 20 ½ point favorites. The total points scored though went screaming over the posted total of 141 ½. Since a 73-72 loss at Kentucky where they covered as 6 ½ point dogs, North Carolina has won 12 of the last 13 games. The only loss occurred at Florida State where they were humiliated 90-57 as six points road favorites. They have since won three straight games and have covered the NCAA Basketball odds in three of last seven.

Wake Forest knows they need to play well tonight and down the stretch just to get an NIT Tournament bid. They are losers of seven of the past 10 games and have posted a 5-4-1 ATS mark in those games. 

Simulator Projections

Wake Forest Demon DeaconsMy proprietary sports handicapping database and sports betting simulator show a high probability that Wake Forest will lose this game by fewer than 15 points. 

Supporting Systems

Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 49-24 ATS for 67% winners since 2006. Play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points and are excellent offensive teams scoring 76 or more pints per game and now facing an average defensive team allowing 67 to 74 points per game, after 15 or more regular season games and after scoring 85 points or more. 

Here is a second system that has produced a 111-58 ATS for for 65.5% winners since 2006. Play against favorites of 10 or more points off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals and is an elite level team winning 80% or more of their games on the season.

Game Situations

As mentioned North Carolina last played and won Sunday, and a quick turn around for this Tuesday night affair is somewhat rare in the college ranks. North Carolina has had a very difficult time in situations like this one tonight, and they have posted an 0-8 ATS mark in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last two seasons; 0-6 ATS in road games when playing their second game in three days over the last two seasons; 4-12 ATS after covering two of their last three against the spread over the last two seasons. 

As great of a career as coach Roy Williams has had, there are spots where he has not been good, and this is one of them. He is just 41-59 ATS losing 23.9 units per one unit wagered off a win against a conference rival since being the head coach of North Carolina. Take Wake Forest as a 20* Titan release.