Savanna State usually wins with defense, but this is a deflated total considering that Tigers road games average over 114 points and North Carolina A&T home games average over 121 points.
The tiny total seems to be overcompensating for the great defense of the visiting team Monday night when the Savannah State Tigers (17-12, 7-9 away) pay a visit to the North Carolina A&T Aggies (14-15, 8-3 home) at the Corbett Sports Center in Greensboro, NC at 9:00 ET in a game televised nationally on ESPNU.
The posted total at 5 Dimes is 108 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -105.
The MEAC is getting some national television exposure Monday night and Savannah State is currently tied with Hampton for third place in the conference with a 10-4 mark as the battle for seeding for next week’s Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament begins.
The Tigers easily have the best defense in the conference, and in fact they are 21st in the entire country in defensive efficiency and an amazing fourth in the nation in defensive turnover percentage at 26.4 percent, smashing the national average of 20.1 percent!
Savannah State even held the Florida Gators to only 58 points early in the season, but that tenacious defense seems to have this total over-adjusted at a posted number of just 108. You see, the Tigers allow 59.4 points per game on the road as opposed to a miniscule 48.9 points at home, and Savannah State road games are averaging a combined 114.3 points. Yes, that is a low average but it is still more than six points higher than this posted total.
The last time that a Savannah State game has a posted total was at Campbell on BracketBuster Saturday and that game produced 132 points in a 69-63 Tigers’ victory, easily going over that posted total of 118½.
North Carolina A&T is in the middle of the pack in the MEAC with a 7-7 conference mark and besides seeding implications, the Aggies do not want to get embarrassed at home in a rare national television appearance. The Aggies are hardly offensive juggernauts, averaging 62.4 points on only 39.6 percent shooting, but given just how low this posted total is, they could score enough here to help push this contest ‘over’.
After all, the A&T scoring average rises a bit to 63.9 points at home, where its games average a combined 121.3 points, which would easily shatter this posted total. One area where Aggies’ game trend toward this total is during conference action, but even there, that average of 111.7 points would be good enough to go ‘over’ this total.
It may be a struggle for a while, but in the end look for the ultimate final score of this MEAC battle to exceed the low posted total Monday.
NCAA Basketball Pick: Savannah State, North Carolina A&T ‘over’ 108 (-105)