Michigan State,Illinois,Big Ten
3/1/2009 4:00:00 PM
Illinois is 14-2 at home this season, and they have played suffocating defense at home in conference games, allowing just 35 percent shooting from the floor. Take the Illini as they host Michigan State this afternoon.
The Illinois Illini are on revenge mode as they host the Michigan State Spartans today.
The Illini, 4-1 the last five times that they were attempting to avenge an earlier road loss, lost by six points at Michigan State six weeks ago. They covered the spread in that game though and they're a much better team at home, going 14-2 here for the season. They've also had plenty of success against the Spartans here, going 7-2 ATS and 6-3 SU the last nine meetings here.
The Spartans are 0-5 SU/ATS the last five times that they were road underdogs (or pick'em) of three points or less. During the same stretch, the Illini were 3-1 SU/AST as home favorites (or pick'em) of three or less. Looking back further and we find them at 8-3-1 ATS (9-3 SU) their last 12 in that role.
The Illini, who had a nine-point lead in the second half of the game at Michigan State, have allowed an average of 47.9 points in eight conference home games, holding opponents to a mere 35 percent shooting in those games. I expect home court to be the difference, as the revenge-minded Illini continue their winning ways here at Champaign.
Take the Illinois Fighting Illini.
Free Pick: Illinois -1 (-110)