North Carolina-Greensboro Spartans,Georgia Southern Eagles,College Basketball
2/4/2008 7:30:00 PM
Value can be found in the Southern Conference tonight when Georgia Southern hosts NC-Greensboro at Hanner Fieldhouse. Take the Eagles as home favorites over the Spartans.
On Monday, I’m going to start off the week by taking a small shot in college hoops with Georgia Southern -3 at home against North Carolina-Greensboro.
Georgia Southern is near the top of the Southern Conference, and with a good overall record to boot, despite having played a tough schedule and most of their games on the road this year so far. Rested and returning home now for a stretch, the Eagles are primed and ready for a string of home wins, and I think they are more likely than not to win by more than three in this game.
NC-Greensboro is following a familiar pattern on the road for top-level, but not elite, teams from mid-major conferences in conference play; namely, the Spartans come out with multiple wins against the lesser teams in the conference, but lose to teams close to their level, not covering the spread when the spread is small as it is in this game. I see a similar outcome as likely here.
This game is likely to be close, but every point has great value in a game such as this, and I do expect Georgia Southern (-3) to come out on top. I see only modest value with this play, but it comes with solid confidence.