Read our free NCAA Basketball pick on the on California Golden Bears as they take on the Colorado Buffalo in the PAC-12 Conference Tournament set to tip at 11:30 PM ET. Find out where we have decided to lay our money.

The PAC-12 has not garnered any significant media attention given the lack of any AP poll ranked teams. It took till last night for even one of these teams to be consider safe to get a bid into the NCAA Tournament when California defeated Stanford 77-71 and covered as 4.5 point favorites.

Tonight, NCAA Basketball odds boards list California as the 6 point favorite with a total of 131.

California played their way into the Tournament with a stellar second half of play scoring 54 points and overcame a seven point half-time score. California had all five starters score in double digits and they shot a torrid 52% from the field. This offense is just too much for Colorado to contain for 40 minutes of play.

Team Rankings and Matchups

Colorado vs. California The Golden Bears offense ranks 62nd in the nation averaging 72.1 points per game, ranks 21st with a 10.5 scoring margin, ninth averaging 16.2 assist per game, 24th posting a 0.608 assist-per-field-goal made, and eleventh posting a 1.353 assist-to-turnover ratio. By comparison, Colorado ranks 192nd ins coring offense averaging 66.6 points per game, 122nd with a 2.2 scoring margin, 264th averaging 11.6 assist per game, 248th posting a 0.508 assists-to-field-goal made, and 190th posting a 0.935 assists-to-turnover ratio.

California has the significantly better defense as well ranking 38th in scoring defense allowing an average of 61.5 points per game. Colorado’s scoring defense ranks 91st allowing an average of 64.1 points per game.

California plays a solid fundamental game and they do not make mistakes and give opponents the opportunity to make free throws. California ranks sixth in the nation averaging 14.2 personal fouls per game. Moreover, California is a superior free throw shooting team ranking 25th in the nation converting on 75% of their shots from the charity stripe. Colorado ranks 205th in the nation in free throw shooting making jusy 68.4% of their fouls hot attempts. 

Cal has advantages in every facet of the game and I strongly believe they will get out to a double digit lead early in this game. 

Simulator Projections

My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that California will win this game by eight or more points. The simulator shows a high probability that Colorado will score between 61 and 66 points in this game. Colorado is just 19-40 ATS when they score 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. California is a solid  14-4 ATS when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last three seasons.

Game Situations

There are numerous NCAA Basketball betting trends favoring a California ATS winning play tonight. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS in road games after two or more consecutive ‘overs’ spanning the last two seasons; 7-0 ATS in road games after having lost two of their last three games over the last two seasons. California head coach Montgomery is a solid 16-4 ATS when playing only their third game in a week.

NCAA Basketball pickTake California as a 5* Titan Play.