Read our free NCAA Basketball pick on the on California Golden Bears as they take on the Colorado Buffalo in the PAC-12 Conference Tournament set to tip at 11:30 PM ET. Find out where we have decided to lay our money.
The PAC-12 has not
garnered any significant media attention given the lack of any AP poll ranked
teams. It took till last night for even one of these teams to be consider safe
to get a bid into the NCAA Tournament when California defeated Stanford 77-71 and
covered as 4.5 point favorites.
Tonight, NCAA Basketball odds boards list California as the 6 point favorite with a total of 131.
California played their
way into the Tournament with a stellar second half of play scoring 54 points
and overcame a seven point half-time score. California had all five starters
score in double digits and they shot a torrid 52% from the field. This offense
is just too much for Colorado to contain for 40 minutes of play.
Team Rankings and Matchups
The Golden Bears offense ranks 62nd in the nation
averaging 72.1 points per game, ranks 21st with a 10.5 scoring
margin, ninth averaging 16.2 assist per game, 24th posting a 0.608
assist-per-field-goal made, and eleventh posting a 1.353 assist-to-turnover
ratio. By comparison, Colorado ranks 192nd ins coring offense
averaging 66.6 points per game, 122nd with a 2.2 scoring margin, 264th
averaging 11.6 assist per game, 248th posting a 0.508
assists-to-field-goal made, and 190th posting a 0.935
California has the significantly better defense as well ranking
38th in scoring defense allowing an average of 61.5 points per game.
Colorado’s scoring defense ranks 91st allowing an average of 64.1
points per game.
California plays a solid fundamental game and they do not make
mistakes and give opponents the opportunity to make free throws. California
ranks sixth in the nation averaging 14.2 personal fouls per game. Moreover,
California is a superior free throw shooting team ranking 25th in
the nation converting on 75% of their shots from the charity stripe. Colorado
ranks 205th in the nation in free throw shooting making jusy 68.4%
of their fouls hot attempts.
Cal has advantages in every facet of the game and I strongly
believe they will get out to a double digit lead early in this game.
My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a
high probability that California will win this game by eight or more points.
The simulator shows a high probability that Colorado will score between 61 and
66 points in this game. Colorado is just 19-40 ATS when they score 61 to 66 points
in a game since 1997. California is a solid
14-4 ATS when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last three
There are numerous NCAA Basketball betting trends favoring a California ATS
winning play tonight. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS in road games after two or more
consecutive ‘overs’ spanning the last two seasons; 7-0 ATS in road games after
having lost two of their last three games over the last two seasons. California
head coach Montgomery is a solid 16-4 ATS when playing only their third game in
NCAA Basketball pick: Take California as a 5* Titan Play.