This spread has been set too hig with Colorado coming off a couple of tough losses. Back the Buffaloes plus the points on the road in today against their Big 12 rivals from Missouri.
Following back-to-back blowout losses we catch some value with Colorado on Saturday heading into Columbia to face Missouri. Many will expect a Missouri win based on the lopsided loss to Kansas State in the last game for the Tigers, but Missouri has not shown the ability to respond in a situation like this.
Since beating Texas to open the conference season Missouri is just 3-7 ATS in Big 12 games and there have been numerous problems on and off the court. Missouri has lost SU in three of the last four home games and the Tigers were very fortunate to win narrowly in Colorado a month ago. The Buffaloes had a 10-point lead at halftime and dominated the boards but eventually surrendered the lead late in the game. Colorado has posted excellent defensive performances since that game despite suffering a lapse against Texas Tech Wednesday though there was little the Buffs could do against 62 percent shooting.
Missouri is winless against the spread as a favorite in conference play this season and the Tigers will be overvalued here based on two tough, recent losses for Colorado. The Buffaloes are actually 7-3 ATS in road games this season and 8-3 in Big 12 games and by-and-large Colorado has shown a lot of improvement as the season has gone on under coach Jeff Bzdelik.
Free Pick: Colorado +12 (-110)