The beginning of the college basketball betting season is always rife with mismatches and Wednesday’s contest between the Purdue Boilermakers and Alcorn State Braves is one of them. 

The Braves are one of the worst teams in the nation whereas the Boilermakers are an NCAA tournament team and are have big expectations for March 2011. This one won’t be close.

Alcorn State Braves @ Purdue Boilermakers College Basketball Betting Odds

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The Alcorn State Braves Can Win Because…:

There is a gigantic spread in their favor.

If the conversation is winning outright, the Braves have no shot but covering a large spread is possible. The Boilermakers were expected to be a Final Four contender this year, but that was until they lost one of their big three in the second practice of the year: senior forward Robbie Hummel.

With Hummel out, all of these early non-conference games will be bench-tests for the Boilermakers depth. They need to find someone to replace Hummel’s production and if the Boilermakers get out to a big lead, the focus of the game will be exactly that and not running up the score. This could work in Alcorn State’s favor but admittedly, that’s a stretch.

The Purdue Boilermakers Can Win Because…:

Purdue BoilermakersThey are significantly better than Alcorn State in virtually every facet of the game.

Just to give you an idea of where Alcorn State is at, they have played two games this year and they have lost both games by an average of 26 points per game (against Texas A&M and Houston).

Meanwhile, the Boilermaker hammered Howard in their opener 74-40. The Braves had just two wins all of last season whereas Purdue had just six losses.

But the bigger issue here – regarding the spread – is the defense on both teams. Both Texas A&M and Houston scored 88 points apiece but Alcorn State averaged 62 a game. Purdue has better weapons than those teams – including all Big Ten performers E’Twaun Moore and JaJuan Johnson – and that’s going to be a consistent problem for the Braves all night long.

Outlook & Basketball Betting Prediction:

Of all of Purdue’s opponents this year, the Braves are the ones with the lowest RPI from last year. They were a pathetic 346th in the RPI last year and won only two games – none on the road.

The Boilermakers are being discredited by a number of pundits after the loss of Hummel and these games still mean something to them. They want to prove that the expectations have not dropped even without a key star.

The Braves are going to get tomahawk chopped in this one. Bet Purdue on the spread.

Free NCCAB Pick: Purdue