Shabazz Muhammad is living up to the hype in Westwood, but the UCLA Bruins haven’t had much against-the-spread success against the California Golden Bears over the last three years.
Let’s take a closer look at this Pac-12 Conference affair from a betting
Rise to the occasion
California will enter Pauley
Pavilion with an 8-4 overall record, but all of its losses have come within the
last five games, including a 67-62 setback to Harvard as 11-point home favorites
last Saturday, while going UNDER the total of 137. The Golden Bears might
rise to the occasion with the start of conference play, especially since
they’ve covered the spread in the last six meetings in this series.
UCLA has one of the more talented
rosters in the country, but it’s a youthful group that may suffer a letdown
after its thrilling 97-94 overtime victory over the Missouri Tigers as
3.5-point home favorites last Friday night. The Bruins have won five
consecutive games, but they’ve gone 1-3 ATS in that span.
Cobbs and Crabbe
Junior guards Justin Cobbs and Allen
Crabbe make the Golden Bears a dangerous underdog when looking over the NCAA
basketball odds, considering they combined to average 37.3 points per
game. California has scored 858 total points this season, with this pair
accounting for 52 percent of the scoring (448 points). The team should
enjoy some success against an opponent that’s more concerned about scoring on
the offensive end this year.
More Pac-12 action for tonight - Arizona and Colorado shoot it out.
Scoring at will
There’s no doubt that the Bruins
have opened it up offensively, averaging a Pac-12-leading 80.9 points per game,
while reaching the 89-point mark in their last four contests. Shabazz
Muhammad is leading the way in averaging 19.6 points per game, as he’s scored
in double figures in each of his first 10 games on campus. Lost in all
the scoring is the play of point guard Larry Drew III, who ranks second in the
country with 8.6 assists per game.
I truly believe that all the value
in the betting market lies with the Golden Bears in this matchup, considering
the public will look at their 0-5 ATS record in their last five games and land
on the other side. California has won three of its four Pac-12 openers
under the direction of current head coach Mike Montgomery, which fits nicely
with the road team covering the number in 14 of the last 20 meetings in this
Golden State rivalry.
I’m going to recommend that readers
back the Golden Bears as one of their college basketball picks, as I believe their
experience backcourt will be the difference down the stretch in this
game. California should be listed as a five-point road underdog in this
affair—giving us 2.5 points of value.
College Basketball Picks:
California Golden Bears +7.5 at BetOnline