Baylor Bears,Kansas State,NCAA Basketball Pick
3/6/2012 3:56:00 PM
The Baylor Bears and Kansas State go head to head Thursday afternoon in Big 12 Tournment action. Lets examine the odds on offer from the sportsbooks and decide which way we should lean with our NCAA Basketball picks.
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Baylor vs. Kansas State
10* NCAA Basketball pick on Baylor
as they take on Kansas State in the quarterfinal of the Phillips 66 Big-12
Conference Tournament set to start at 12:30 PM ET. No. 11 Baylor has had an
excellent season and are riding the successful wave their football program
produced in the fall. Winning is a contagious attitude and Baylor is one of
those teams that could make a big run in this tournament and then the NCAA
Baylor enters this game ranked No. 11 in the nation with an
impressive 26-6 record and are 12-6 in the Big-12 conference. Kansas State has
done well posting a 21-9 season record and a solid 10-8 Big-12 record.
The College Hoops Betting
NCAA basketball betting lines opened with Baylor as a skinny two point favorite.
Initially, this was a bit surprising, but the public believe that Kansas State
needs to win this game for their Tournament resume more than Baylor. As a
result, the NCAA basketball odds may fall to Baylor favored by one single point on this
neutral court in Kansas City, Missouri.
Also keep in mind that K-State defeated Baylor 57-56 February 18, so
although they are not ranked the many NCAA basketball bettors believe that they can compete with Baylor
for a full 40 minutes. I simply disagree and this is one of the few times where
a line that appears to be weak and just too good to be true is a solid sports betting
Baylor is coming off an 80-72 loss at Iowa State and failed to
cover the spread while installed as two point dogs. They have however, won three of
their last four games and have gone 2-2 ATS in them. Kansas State is coming off
a blowout 77-58 win over a weak Oklahoma State team and covered the 12 point
spread. They have won four of their last
five games and covered the games they won. So, again the recent ‘flash’ results
give the public false confidence to bet Kansas State as the better team getting
Team Ranks and Matchups
These offense are nearly opposites with Baylor a dominant
perimeter based shooting team and K-State preferring to work the ball into the
post and get shots close to the basket. I believe this is the dominant
advantage Baylor has in this game. They are an excellent ball movement team and
can work the ball very well to find the open teammate with the best scoring
Baylor is a superior foul throw shooting team ranking
27th in the nation making 75% of their free throw attempts. By
comparison, K-State is painful to watch from the foul line making just 66.3% of
their free throws ranking 260th in the nation. I believe Baylor will
use their quickness on offense and look to drive to the rim more than on
average and will have at least six more free shots in this game. The free throw
part of this game will show Baylor to have a 10 point or more advantage and
will contribute largely to them advancing in this Big-12 Conference Tournament.
My Pick: Take Baylor as a 10* Titan Play.