The San Antonio
Spurs are the most disrespected team in the NBA. For whatever reason, no one
believes that they are really a quality enough team to have 54 wins through 66
games on the season.
prove it once again on Monday night in against the Miami Heat on the road at
American Airlines Arena. Tipoff from South Beach is set for 8:00 ET. NBA odds
makers have the Heat out as four point favorites with the total at 198.
Three Balls the Key for the Spurs
We have to
remember that San Antonio absolutely lit up this Miami team just a week and a
half ago in the Lone Star State. The Spurs never trailed in the game and ended
up posting a 125-95 blowout thanks to an incredibly dominating 36-12 first
Of course, we
really don't expect to see the San Antonio Spurs come out and shoot a whopping 60.7 percent
from beyond the arc again, but there is definitely some reason to believe that
a high percentage could be on tap on Monday.
San Antonio is the
top three point shooting team in the game at 40.1 percent. Richard Jefferson is
knocking down 43.6 percent of his long range shots, while Matt Bonner is
actually connecting on over half of his. He hit six threes against the Heat
back on March 4. Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili aren't afraid to let it fly from
long range, and both have the ability to go off for 30+ point games when given
Heat Need to Slow it Down
The Spurs really
have looked like a different team this year because they are running up and
down the wings and taking a ton of outside shots early in the shot clock. Miami
fell into that run and gun trap in San Antonio 10 days ago, and it just cannot
play at that pace again. Sure, we know that LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, and
Chris Bosh can play at any tempo that they want, but for the good of this team,
stats can't be all that important for a change.
What really sets
the Heat apart from the rest of the league isn't having three superstars. It's
the fact that they play great team defense. Miami is holding teams to just 94.7
PPG this year, No. 6 in the league, and foes are shooting just 43.0 percent
from the floor, No. 2.
Hard to Make NBA Picks on Miami
It is definitely
well documented how much the Heat have struggled against the best teams in the
league. In fact, that win last week over the Los Angeles Lakers was only the second
for them over a legit title contender all season long. They have already lost
three times to the Boston Celtics and Chicago Bulls this season, and both the
Dallas Mavericks and the Spurs already have a combined three victories against
them as well.
San Antonio has
won and covered four straight NBA betting lines in this series dating back to
the end of the '08-'09 campaign, and the three most recent wins have come by an
average of 24.0 PPG.
The Spurs are 8-3
ATS in their last 11 road games, while Miami is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine
The math just
doesn't add up here. There is no reason why the sportsbooks have lined the Heat
as four point favorites. Take the points with the Spurs, but expect the