This total seems high when you consider the Nets are the lowest scoring team in the NBA and the Utah offense tails off considerably on the road. Take the Under in the swamp.
The New Jersey Nets are the lowest scoring team in the NBA, while the Utah Jazz are mot nearly as potent offensively on the road as they are at home, so we do not see this total approaching 200 points.
The Nets are not a league worst 2-23 by accident, as they are last in the league in scoring (89.2 points per game), field goal percentage (41.4 percent) and three-point shooting percentage (27.2 percent). Moreover, they have actually been worse when playing at home, averaging a woeful 88.3 points while shooting a dismal 40.2 percent overall and hitting on only 25.2 percent of their threes.
It is no small wonder then that the Nets have been one of the most Under-friendly teams in the league, with the Under going 16-7-2, 69.6 percent in all of their games with an average combined total score of 189.2 points per game, nearly nine points less than this posted total.
Now the Jazz are averaging 101.4 points while shooting 49.1 percent from the field overall, but they have severe home/away splits, as they average only 94.9 points on 45.8 percent shooting on the road. This is actually nothing new for Utah, as they have also had one of the strongest home court advantages in the NBA but have always performed considerably worse when traveling.
All things considered, we do not see either of these teams getting out of the 90s here, and we see this game total topping out at around 190 or so, giving good value to the Under at this posted total.
Free Pick: Jazz, Nets Under 198 (-110)