Steve Nash and the Phoenix Suns are playing their best ball of the season but now host one of the toughest teams in the league in the San Antonio Spurs. Read on to find out who we like to cover as our NBA pick.
Phoenix has been terrific over the last five weeks, going
13-5 SU over their past 18 games. That's propelled them to a winning record
(25-24) for the first time all season long.
The Suns have won six of eight, and two straight heading into
tonight's game, and are on a profitable 7-1 ATS run over their previous eight
matchups as well.
They stormed past the Cavaliers in Cleveland two days ago,
getting out to a 22-point lead at halftime and keeping their cool for a 108-83
blowout victory. Marcin Gortat and Markieff Morris had 22 points apiece, while
Shannon Brown, Channing Frye and Jared Dudley all scored in double figures too.
Both teams in good form
Tonight the Suns will try to keep it rolling at home to the
Spurs. They were opened as two-point underdogs in the NBA odds, with the total
set at 200. While the spread has lowered to 1.5 points, early NBA betting action has lifted the matchup's total to 203 points.
Even hotter than Phoenix, the Spurs are pulling away in the
Southwest division. They lead Dallas by 6.5 games thanks to the conference's
second-best record at 33-14.
The Spurs have won four in a row and seven of eight, while
going 6-2 ATS in those games. Their latest victory was a 93-76 one at home over
Philadelphia. Tony Parker had a game-high 21 points and added seven assists,
helping five of his teammates reach double-digit scoring too.
Even with Tim Duncan getting rested here and there and
injuries to Gary Neal and Tiago Splitter, the Spurs keep chugging along and
picking up wins. Can they do so again tonight?
It always pains me to go against Gregg Popovich, but I like
Phoenix to cover this game.
On the season, the Spurs are an even 11-11-1 ATS on the
road, while the Suns have been good (14-11 ATS) against the number at home.
Steve Nash has been facilitating the offense as well as
ever. He may only have 16 points over his last two games, but he's dished out 30
assists. His battle with Tony Parker, who's also having a tremendous season,
should be a treat to watch.
Backing Suns to cover
All in all, I think this game simply means much more to the
Suns. They're now just a game-and-a-half back of that last playoff spot in the
Western Conference standings and are only three games back of fourth place.
Talk about crazy.
San Antonio, meanwhile, is pretty much on cruise control.
They've already essentially locked up the division and have already started
resting players ahead of the postseason.
With urgency on their side, I'm picking Nash and the Suns to
hold on and win their third straight game.
FREE Pick: Phoenix Suns +2
Spurs are 19-7-1 ATS I their last 27 games overall
Spurs are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 road games
Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall
Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games
OVER is 9-3 in the last 12 head-to-head meetings
Suns are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 head-to-head meetings