Oklahoma City has played much better at home, cashing 14 of their last 17 in the Ford Center against the spread. Take the points and the Thunder versus the LA Lakers.
The Ford Center will be the site of tonight’s Western Conference battle between the host Oklahoma City Thunder and the visiting Lakers from the City of Angels.
These two just met February 10 in LA with the Lakers taking a 105-98 win but failing to cover as an 11½-point home favorite. LA has won four straight but only two of those against the number, losing ATS at home versus New Orleans (115-111 as an 8-point home favorite) and on the road in their most recent affair at Minnesota (111-108 as 9½-point road favorites).
The Thunder have lost five straight games and only covered two of those against the spread, but only one of those games was at home and they covered in that game versus New Orleans, 100-98 as a 3-point underdog and then, of course, the game we mentioned on the road at the Lakers.
LA is 1-5 ATS this season off two ATS losses where they won SU as a favorite and 14-29 ATS since 1996. The Lakers are 4-10 ATS this season after failing to cover the spread in their last two games and 20-40 ATS the last three seasons in that situation. Oklahoma City is 29-17 ATS as an underdog this year and 13-9 ATS as an underdog of 3½-9½ points.
With the Thunder coming in off two high scoring affairs they become active in this angle that tells us they are a perfect 6-0 ATS after two straight games where both teams scored at least 100 points. They are also 7-1 ATS after a combined score of at least 205 points in two straight games.
Finally we note that the Thunder have covered the spread in 14 of their last 17 home games. With OKC sitting idle since Saturday and the Lakers having played on the road at the Timberwolves Sunday and host the Suns on Thursday we believe they are in a perfect letdown situation that the host should be able to capitalize on tonight.
Play on NBA conference underdogs coming off a SU and ATS loss on the road in their last game, 50-31-1 ATS, if they lost two games both SU and ATS the record is 9-2 ATS. Play against NBA conference road teams with a line range of 8 to 9½ points, 9-20 ATS.
Take the points with the Thunder as they keep this one close in Oklahoma City on Tuesday evening.
Projected Final Score: Oklahoma City-109 Los Angeles-112
Free Pick: Thunder +8½ (-108)