The Mavericks are hot-hot-hot, but covering spreads at home they are not-not-not. Grab the points and the New York Knicks tonight on the road in Dallas.
Dallas made it 13-straight wins with a come-from-behind win over New Jersey on Wednesday as it survived another 'win, no-cover' at home. The Mavericks host the Knicks Saturday which looks like another pushover, but I have a feeling New York is not going to go away easily here.
The first meeting this season has something to do with that as the Knicks were absolutely embarrassed in that game on January 24. Dallas went into Madison Square Garden and built a 53-point lead before “holding on” to win it by an even 50 points.
Games decided by margins like that are obviously rare in the NBA as even the bad teams are not that bad, but that first meeting simply got out of control. Egos were bruised and feelings got hurt, and Knicks players have not forgotten about it.
With the way Dallas is playing and with the Knicks on a current 7-22 run, we have a big line and one that is filled with value. The Knicks have been big underdogs on the road of late when playing the better teams in the league, and this number didn’t stray from that.
Dallas can take this game one of two ways. First, it can come in pretty motivated as it will know that the Knicks are going to be after some payback. Second, it can come in lethargic and with a lack of focus knowing what happened the first time.
It is hard to predict what the mental state will be but I do know that New York will be more fired up for this one than the Mavericks will be, and we all know how motivation plays such a large part in the NBA.
A big problem with Dallas, if you can even say the second-best team in the Western Conference has problems, is that it cannot put teams away at home. The Mavericks are a horrible 8-24 ATS at home including a 7-24 ATS mark as home favorites. They win but they don’t win big.
Road revenge is a tough angle in the NBA but there are exceptions and this one certainly fits.
Free Pick: Knicks +11 (-110)