The Knicks have been in a brutal stretch on the schedule and are happy to be facing a team like the Warriors on Tuesday. New York plus the points is the play at Golden St.
Our Tuesday night NBA selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over Golden State in Oakland's Oracle Arena.
The Warriors have been playing very well at home of late – And we've been on them in several of those games (e.g., vs. Utah and San Antonio) – but in all of the games we've played on the Warriors, they had been installed as the underdog. Now, Golden State is favored and the Warriors are a dismal 5-9 ATS as a favorite this season.
Frankly, I love fading bad teams as favorites. We went against Oklahoma City when they were favored by 7 vs. Sacramento on Sunday and got the $$$ when the Thunder won by just three points, and also faded the Grizzlies on Friday when they were favored by 5 over the Clippers (and Memphis lost that game by 21). Now, let's fade the Warriors, as bad teams cannot be trusted to lay a lot of points. Golden State also falls into a negative 34-75 ATS system of mine which fades certain home teams off upset wins.
Tonight's opponent for the Warriors will be the Knicks. Although New York is in the midst of a four-game losing streak, three of the losses were to the Lakers, Cleveland and Boston (the league's three best teams), and the fourth was a 1-point road loss to the Trail Blazers (another strong club), so the Knicks can be excused for that. However, right before this four-game losing skid, New York had won six of seven, and those games were against teams much like these Warriors.
The Knicks have a lot of players who are stepping up right now: Al Harrington is averaging 28 ppg in his last five games, and David Lee has "double-doubles" in his last 14 games. Earlier this season, New York scored 138 points in a 13-point win over Golden State at Madison Square Garden, and I expect a similar victory tonight. Take the points.
Free Pick: Knicks +4 (-105)