The Miami Heat have covered the number following a loss in their last eight opportunities, which could prove to be the difference when taking on the Indiana Pacers Thursday night.
Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 5 of the
Eastern Conference finals at AmericanAirlines Arena, with the opening tip
scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on TNT.
Indiana evened its best-of-seven series with Miami at two games
apiece, as it picked up a 99-92 victory as three-point home underdogs in Game 4
Tuesday, while the OVER has cashed in all four contests.
The Pacers finished with a 49-30 rebounding advantage, while
they’ve outscored the Heat by a 90-72 margin in the paint in their two
NBA handicappers will find that the squad is 6-23 straight up
(SU) and 10-19 against the spread (ATS) as road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points,
with the UNDER going 18-11 in that situation.
Miami entered Tuesday’s affair outshooting opponents 49.2 to
41.8 percent from the floor, but it managed to knock down just 39 percent of
its shots at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Game 4.
The Heat have averaged 105.4 points on 50.5 percent shooting at
home since the start of the regular season, which will likely be the difference
in trying to take a 3-2 advantage back to Indianapolis.
While sports media members have focused in on the lack of
support that Chris Bosh, Dwyane Wade and LeBron James are receiving from their
teammates, it’s important to point out that Indiana’s reserves are struggling
The Pacers’ bench has been outscored in 14 consecutive games—a
statistic that could lead to their ultimate demise in the postseason.
Rising to the occasion
James fouled out in the closing minutes Tuesday night, which
will likely motivate him in this spot, especially since the Heat are 7-3 SUATS
when tied in a playoff series since he joined Bosh and Wade in South Beach.
Miami has covered those seven victories by an average of 5.8
points per game in that situation.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Heat as their NBA picks Thursday, as the Heat are 14-3 SU and 10-7 ATS as home favorites
of 6.5 to 9 points, while the Pacers are 17-21 ATS as underdogs.
NBA Pick: Miami Heat -7.5 at Bet365