Suarez tries to keep his winning run alive with his NBA picks for Saturday's action.
We hit both picks again yesterday and have been very
successful in the association over the last few weeks. Let's see what's being
served up today in terms of NBA betting value.
With eight NBA matchups scheduled for today, where should we look with our sports picks?
Chicago (36-10 SU, 27-19 ATS) vs. Philadelphia (25-19 SU,
Tipoff at 8:00 PM EST
We're not used to seeing either team lose much (well maybe
Philadelphia over the last month) but both the Bulls and 76ers are feeling the
sting of losses from last night. The Chicago Bulls fell at home to Portland by 11 and
Philadelphia gave it a go against Miami but ultimately lost 78-84 as four-point
underdogs. The 76ers did however make a furious comeback and almost erased a
Tonight Philadelphia (7-5 ATS on zero days rest) is in the
Windy City to play the Bulls, who are favored by six points over their Eastern
Obviously there's a giant caveat to this play and it's
Derrick Rose's health. He's missed two straight with a groin issue and is
doubtful right now, but keep tracking his status leading up until tipoff. I
don't have to tell you how important he is to this team.
The Bulls have faltered when holding the favorites tag as of
late: they're 1-4 ATS in their last five as chalk. Plus, the underdog in the
series is 15-7 ATS in the last 22 head-to-head meetings which bolsters my play
on the 76ers even further. In two matchups between the these teams this season,
Doug Collins' gang won big in February and then lost by five a couple weeks
Philadelphia, who may get Spencer Hawes back tonight, will
be counting on their sturdy defense to keep them in it. The 76ers are giving up
90.2 PPG over their last five, which is a much better mark than the Bulls (99.4
PPG), and overall I think they just match up well with Tom Thibodeau's squad.
This is a team that's covered the NBA odds in three of their last four meetings with Chicago
and I'm of the opinion they'll cash again.
PICK: Philadelphia 76ers +6
Dallas (25-20 SU, 22-23 ATS) vs. San Antonio (29-13 SU,
Tipoff at 9:00 PM EST
This total number is a lot higher than it was in the two
earlier meetings of the season, but even so I think the sportsbooks have the
right idea and that this one will go over the O/U. The line is inflated for a
reason so let's try and beat it.
Just take a quick look at what the Spurs have been doing
recently on the offensive end. They're averaging a ridiculous 114.8 PPG over
their last five, while shooting 52.1% from the field and 42.2% from three.
Adopting this tempo on offense has caused problems on the
other end for San Antonio, but they've been so on fire that it doesn't seem to
matter. The Spurs have allowed 107.6 PPG, 46.9% FG and 41.9 3P% over that same
five-game period and are giving up 100.1 PPG on the road this season. Dirk will
be happy to add to those paltry numbers tonight.
Dallas has been just as poor defensively though, giving up
102.2 PPG and 47.7 FG% in their last five. And though the Mavs are catching the
Spurs on a back-to-back, Gregg Popovich's team is notorious for their depth so
I don't see tired legs holding the visitors back here.
The OVER has gone 15-6 in San Antonio's road games this
season. The Mavericks may be a little rested and ready to snap out of their
defensive funk, but it doesn't seem like anyone can stop Tony Parker and the
Spurs from scoring at will. As a result, I'm adding the OVER to my NBA picks
for the day.
PICK: OVER 195.5