NBA Pick,NBA Pick,Bucks,NBA Odds
12/30/2011 12:00:00 AM
The Bucks get Drew Gooden back tonight after he was suspended last game for a flagrant foul, which instantly upgrades the Milwaukee offense. Washington is young, but the Wizards can score and also give up points quickly. Go 'over' the total.
A higher scoring game that some people expect could be in store in the NBA Friday night when the Washington Wizards (0-2 overall, 0-1 away) pay a visit to the Milwaukee Bucks (1-1 overall, 1-0 home) at the Bradley Center in Milwaukee, WI at 8:30 ET.
The Bucks do not figure to pose much of a challenge to the Chicago Bulls in the Central Division, but they do figure to improve greatly on their 35-47 season of a year ago as that disappointing year was entirely due to too many injuries for a team that lacked depth to overcome. If the Bucks stay healthy this year, a return to the playoffs is very possible.
The playoffs may still be a pipedream for the Wizards out of the Southeast Division, but this is a team loaded with young talent that could turn scary in a couple of years if all the players stick around. You can do a lot worse than having the quartet of John Wall, Andray Blatche, Jordan Crawford, and Javale McGee as your nucleus to build around, but while the future looks bright, the Wizards will continue to go through growing pains this year.
Still, the potential is there for Washington to play higher scoring games than their posted totals. Unfortunately, that potential exists on both sides of the court, as the young Wizards are capable of going off on offense at any time, but they also treat defense as an afterthought. With this in mind, we are looking to go ‘over’ this rather modest total on the NBA odds tonight.
The posted at Bookmaker Sportsbook is 187 for this contest, with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -110.
The Bucks ranked dead last in the NBA in scoring last year, but that was because they had very little firepower on their bench after Andrew Bogut, Brandon Jennings and Drew Gooden all went down to injuries, and the team lost a whopping 267 man-games to injury. It is a tribute to Coach Scott Skiles then that this team was actually still alive in the playoff race in a weak Eastern Conference until the final week of the season.
Well, all three of those scorers are back and the offensive improvement has been immediate with Milwaukee averaging 96.5 points in its first two games. Furthermore, the Bucks were without Gooden as he served a flagrant-foul suspension in a win over the Minnesota Timberwolves Tuesday night, but he is back tonight putting Milwaukee back at full strength again.
Now the Wizards have struggled in their first two games, averaging only 83.5 points on 40.4 percent shooting. As mentioned however, this young squad has a lot of upside on the offensive end, and the struggles of the first two games may actually give the ‘over’ good value here at an opportunity to buy low.
Besides, Washington is also entirely capable of allowing 110 points on the defensive end, especially playing on the road where the Wizards surrendered 109.0 points per game while going a disgusting 3-38 straight up last season.
Therefore, let’s go ‘over’ in Milwaukee Friday night.
NBA Pick: Wizards, Bucks ‘over’ 187 (-110)