Lionel Hollins has the Grizzlies playing more up-tempo in offense and much better on defense.  Lay the points on Memphis at home Friday vs. the Los Angeles Clippers.

The FedEx Forum will be the site of Friday’s clash between the host Memphis Grizzlies and the visiting Los Angeles Clippers. The Clippers are suffering through a seven-game losing streak both straight up and against the spread, with their last loss coming against the Magic on Wednesday, 125-96, as a 13-point road underdog. The Grizzlies on the other hand have won and covered their last two games with the last game against the Houston Rockets, a 104-93 win as a 6-point home underdog.

The Clippers were hoping the return of point guard Baron Davis and forward Zach Randolph would spark this team, and they would be able to turn a horrible season around. But that hasn’t happened as their seven-game losing streak would indicate; furthermore, they are not only losing and failing to cover the spread, they are playing no defense at all allowing 116 points per game over their last four outings.

Not only do the fundamental aspects of the Clippers' game make one hesitant to back them, we also found solid technical evidence that they are a play against team in this situation.  The Clippers are:

  • 32-48 ATS as an underdog of 3½ to 9½ points the last three seasons
  • 44-66 ATS as an underdog the last two seasons
  • 14-27 ATS during the second half of the season the last two seasons
  • 0-8 ATS after two consecutive non-conference games this season
  • 38-51 ATS revenging a loss the last two seasons
  • 7-15 ATS revenging a loss of 10 points or more this season
  • 5-14 ATS revenging a road loss this season
  • 6-23 ATS revenging a road loss of 10 points or more the last two seasons
  • 5-13 ATS off a road loss this season
  • 16-32 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more the last three seasons
  • 3-14 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season

Database research has uncovered an NBA System that tells us to play on home teams after a win over a division rival by 10 or more points and their opponent has lost two consecutive road games by 10 or more points.  Teams are 24-5 ATS the last 29 times this system has qualified a team.

Grizzlies head coach Lionel Hollins making his team play at a faster pace on the offensive end of the floor which has proven to be a positive and their defensive game has also improved with this adjustment. No NBA title in the Grizzlies' future, but a win and cover over an overmatched and apparently disinterested Clippers team certainly appears to be in their future. Lay the short price with the host as the Grizzlies capture the win and cover on Friday night in Memphis.

Projected Final Score: Memphis-101 Los Angeles-92

Free Pick: Grizzlies -5½ (-110)