The Lakers and the Nuggets, thanks to the shooting og Pau Gasol and Carmelo Anthony, lit the scoreboard up in Game 1, and now the linesmakers have set the total too high.
We understand the linemaker's adjustments in the NBA Playoffs. They are almost always in favor of the opposite result from the previous game. Teams that lost the previous game usually take fewer or lay more points in the next game.
Totals are a different story. If a game goes under the posted total, the next game will have a lower O/U line and vice versa. Sometimes the linemaker over-adjusts. The posted total in Game 1 of this series, for example, was 224. Today, it's 229½. That's too big of an adjustment and we're going to call him on it.
Pau Gasol and Carmello Anthony shot the lights out in the first game and both the Lakers and the Nuggets were embarrassed about the number of points they allowed. We're counting on the defensive pride of both teams to hold this total down.
Prediction: Total Points Scored = 218
Free Pick: Nuggets-Lakers Under 229½ (-102)