Houston would love to pull the upset tonight in Utah after the Jazz popped the Rockets in the Western Conference playoffs last year.  It won't happen; take the Jazz minus points.

Utah is 82-32 straight up since 1996 and 19-6 straight up the last three years as a home favorite of 3½ to 6 points. The Jazz were 38-11 straight up last year at home.

Utah scored an average of 100.9 points per game overall last year and 103.9 points per game at home this past season. The Jazz are 26-4 straight up at home vs Houston since 1996 and 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS at home vs Houston the last three years.

The Rockets are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games dating back to last season. Utah is 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. The home team and the favorite in this series are 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Utah tonight.

Free Pick: Jazz -4 (-110)