James Harden and the Houston Rockets host LeBron James and the Miami Heat tonight in the Toyota Center. The Rockets have been installed as underdogs for this trip of the defending champs – can they keep it close?

Odds Overview 

It's been middle-of-the-road type of success for both the Rockets and the Heat in terms of ATS performance. Houston is 3-3 ATS while Miami is 4-3 ATS. 

The Heat are getting the love from NBA odds makers, listed as 5.5-point favorites at most sportsbooks. The total, meanwhile, is at 194.5 for tonight's game. 

Miami Heat 

James HardenTaking a four-game winning streak into Memphis, the Heat were in for a rude awakening. They were smashed by the Grizzlies in a 104-86 loss

Miami even came in favored, but that all quickly went down the drain after Memphis posted a 34-point second quarter to take a 56-41 halftime lead. The Heat couldn't recover from there. 

Despite the loss, LeBron did his thing, as always. He had 20 points on 10-of-19 shooting and added 10 rebounds, six assists, two steals and a block. Chris Bosh chipped in with 22 points and eight boards, but Dwyane Wade (eight points on 3-of-15 shooting) and Ray Allen (2-of-7 FG for five points) struggled. 

Not only did the Heat connect on 38.0 percent of their shots, but they were a miserable 61.1 percent from the free throw line as well. The focus and execution was just not there for Miami all night long. 

Perhaps Erik Spoelstra's squad can rebound against Houston, whom they've beaten five straight times. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in those matchups, but obviously the makeup of the Rockets rotation is much different these days. 

Houston Rockets 

All things considered, you'd have to say a 3-3 record at this point in the season isn't too shabby for the new-look Rockets. 

So far, Houston has beaten Detroit twice, as well as notching an impressive 109-102 road victory over Atlanta. Losses have come at home to Denver (93-87) and Portland (95-85) and on the road against Memphis (93-85). 

Their last time on the court, though, the Rockets had little trouble sweeping the Pistons aside in a 96-82 win. Houston dominated in points in the paint (44-28), with an uncharacteristically strong offensive showing from Omer Asik (14 points) paving the way. 

James Harden was a little more efficient shooting the ball, finishing 6-of-14 for 20 points, to go along with five rebounds and two assists. He did however have five turnovers and has now turned the ball over at least four times in each of Houston's games so far. 

Tonight's game will be a great test for the young Rockets. We'll be able to see if these guys can really compete with the best. 

NBA Pick 

The Rockets still have a lot of things to figure out with their vastly changed roster, so it may take a little while before they're truly at their peak. 

As such, we recommend going nowhere near this spread. The Heat are coming off a blowout loss and could very well come out and destroy Houston, but the Rockets are the more rested team and may not go down so easily. 

Therefore, how about we take the OVER? These are two teams that love to run, and the amount of shooters that will be on the court shouldn't be ignored, either. Harden, Lin, Parsons, Patterson, Delfino, and Morris have all averaged at least two three-point attempts per game this season, while LeBron, Allen, Chalmers, Battier, and Lewis have done the same. 

We foresee a lot of points in this one. Take the OVER. 

NBA Pick: OVER 194.5 at Legends