There are Five elimination games today in the NCAA baseball Regional games. Two suspended games will resume [FSU-Bama,SC-Stetson] and we provide a breakdown analysis as well as looking at the betting odds.
2pm ET: Texas vs. Kent State
The Longhorns staved off elimination by beating Kent State yesterday, 9-3, in the NCAA Regional games. UT used four pitchers to hold down the Golden Flashes and worked their small ball offense with eleven hits and a big three run bomb from DH Kevin Lusson. Earlier in the day, Texas had won their first elimination game. It was a tight affair with Texas State as the Horns rallied for a run in the 9th after blowing a one run lead in the top of the inning.
It will be mostly "all-hands-on-deck" today for both teams pitching wise. Kent likely turns to their Game 1 starter in this regional in Kyle Hallock. Texas could go with their Game 1 starter, Sam Stafford, who was outstanding in 7+ innings against Princeton. UT could even have ace Taylor Jungmann available to pitch an inning after Kent bombed him for seven earned runs in 5.2 IP on Saturday. I think the formula for Texas to win is the same as what they did yesterday against the Golden Flashes, get an early lead and hope your pitching shuts the door. Even though they were throttled yesterday, Kent will feel comfortable with their ace on the mound. If anything, Texas will be the tight team here because this is their regional and it will be a major failure for them to lose. No line here, but if Kent State can get 2.5 on the spread, I'd feel good with that. Total is going to be a low one again, I'd expect 6.5 or 7 probably. You'd think pitcher's duel, but difficult to call with nerves in play.
Texas went with Stafford as expected. Kent though went with Ryan Mace over Hallock. Expect Hallock is available for sure if needed. Mace had good numbers, 2.45 ERA and started nine games for the Flashes. Mace hasn't pitched since the MAC Conference Tournament, but was awesome in an 11-0 route over Miami. He went seven and struck out eleven. Texas has the obvious home field advantage, but their offense is still a little dodgy + they have looked a little nervy at times. Kent State has nothing to lose here. No one expects them to win, but I think this sets up for another close finish, I think.
KENT STATE +2.5 [+120]
7pm ET: Baylor vs. California
Baylor is tossing Jon Ringenberg into Monday’s game as their starter. Ringenberg enters with a 2.25 ERA and 2-1 mark this season in 28.0 innings pitched. Game 1 starter Logan Verrett is likely available in the bullpen for Baylor. Cal should be pushing Erik Johnson out to take the start. Johnson was touched up for five earned against Baylor, most of his own doing as he walked six batters. He did not make it out of the 3rd inning, so he should still be fairly fresh. Kevin Miller is also an option as he was roughed up Saturday and only pitched 1.2 innings against Alcorn State. Expect some sort of combination of those two for the Golden Bears. Cal has the momentum here. They stuck in a scoreless game with Baylor until Chad Bunting's solo homer in the 6th and then found a groove with a seven run 8th to seal the 8-0 win. That inning started on an error. Fielding has been an issue in this region. I like Cal in this spot having won two elimination games already. Baylor's bats have not been steady with just three runs in their last two games. A bit chalky, but Cal Moneyline in the betting odds looks good.
7pm ET: Clemson vs. UConn
A crazy finish last night in Clemson as UConn rallied from a 4-1 hole to take a 6-4 lead into the 9th. That's when Clemson tied it up with a rally, keyed by a Spencer Kieboom two run single. But the Huskies were not deterred as they struck back in the bottom of the 9th, winning on a Ryan Fuller single to force today's elimination game. This region has been heavy on offense. It remains to be seen who will get the starting nods today. Clemson may have to turn to unfamiliar faces to get through the day as their big arms have already been used. That should lend to more offense. UConn might be tempted to bring their stud Matt Barnes back because of the short outing he threw Friday against Clemson. The other options are not great, so expect Barnes to pitch at some point even if he doesn't start. Still, red hot offenses should be the story again. UConn has scored 32 runs in their last three here and Clemson has tallied 27. Over 9.5 looks pretty nice despite the chalk again.
7:35pm ET: Texas A&M vs. Arizona
A little-used reliever cooled off the Texas A&M bats and helped Arizona push the College Station Regional to an all-or-nothing game. Nick Cunningham came in after starter Tyler Hale was hit on the back of his elbow with a line drive in the third inning. All he did was shut down the Aggies for 5.1 IP on the way to a 7-4 victory for the Cats. A&M will start freshman lefty Brandon Parrent (2-4, 3.65 ERA) today with Arizona reportedly leaning toward sophomore lefty Vincent Littleman (2-3, 8.10 ERA). A&M has a definite pitching edge today. Their pen though failed them yesterday, but they will have their closer fresh and ready if needed along with their Friday starter, Michael Wacha who shut out Wright State in six innings of work. Arizona's offense has found its stroke and will be dangerous here. Price has fallen a little toward the Cats who are now down to +125. O/U is 9.5, heavy chalk to the over. With Arizona's pitching options and their offense clicking, the over seems the best bet in this one. I like A&M to survive, but not overly confident in that.
8:00pm ET: Dallas Baptist vs. Oral Roberts
Oral Roberts is now juiced up to +135 baseball betting dogs and I'll probably take a bite here. ORU is riding high after they knocked out top seed TCU on Sunday 8-3 and then survived another elimination game by beating DBU, 7-2. Oral Roberts got dominant pitching from Mark Guest who went the distance. The big question for both teams of course will be where do their coaches turn for pitching today? ORU had the better staff, while DBU struggled with a 4.68 Team ERA. Their pitching held up nicely against TCU and Oklahoma, but their two best were used heavily on Friday & Saturday and probably won't add more than an inning to the equation. More troubling for the Patriots should be their offense which was very productive in the regular season, but has accounted for just eight runs in three games in Fort Worth. Oral Roberts is hitting very well after being shut down in the opener by TCU. The Golden Eagles have put up 22 runs over their last three games. ORU has a deeper staff to choose from today and if that pitching holds up, I like Oral Roberts to pull the shocker here and advance as the lowest seed in the region.
My current Regionals record stands at 9-7 [+3.25] and you can get all the latest analysis from my thread in the forum where your contribution is also wanted!
FSU-Bama Over is Pending. They resume at Noon ET today. Had it at Over 9.5. 8-1 in the 6th, so looking good. One future pending. If UConn beats Clemson, can cash that one. Had the Field to Win That Region over Clemson.
Today's Lines 5dimes SBR Sportsbook
Kent State +230
Clemson -320 -300
UConn +240 +240
California -175 -190
Baylor +135 +150
A&M -160 -145
Arizona +120 +115
Dallas Baptist -145 -160
Oral Roberts +105 +130
Waiting to see if we get spreads or not. First impressions, Over again with Clemson-UConn is my favorite at this point. Oral Roberts at plus money and momentum, 2nd favorite. Best Chalk to me is Cal. Cal likely sends out their ace whom Baylor beat up for five runs on Friday, but Cal locked down BU last night and I would not expect Johnson to pitch poorly again. His control killed him, he walked six. Will think about that one though for a bit.