With the Braves off a doubleheader, banged up on the mound and likely without Mark Teixeira today, the rested Phillies at home with Jimmy Rollins back in the lineup look good.
REYES HAS BLISTER
Atlanta starter Jo-Jo Reyes has a lot of potential, but he struggles mightily with in-game consistency and high pitch counts. He had to leave his last start because of a blister on his pitching hand, and it’s dubious that it’s completely healed after only four rest days. Reyes, of all people, is not the kind of guy who is likely to be able to overcome something like that.
With the Braves off a doubleheader and likely without Mark Teixeira, while the Phillies are rested after an off day and with Jimmy Rollins back in the lineup, things are looking in Philly’s favor here.
MORE FIREWORKS TO COME IN TEXAS
The total for this game opened at 9 and went to 9½, and it still may be sitting considerably too low. Seattle, which was having horrific problems scoring at home, exploded at hitter-friendly Rangers Ballpark. They’ll likely be at it again here, as Kason Gabbard and his ugly K/BB ratio promises to be an easier task for the Mariners’ bats than Vicente Padilla.
Felix Hernandez, for his part, looks like he’s settling into a groove of hittable mediocrity for the near future, as he often has throughout his career thus far. I don’t see a good start by either starter as likely here, and after that, the parade of sub-par relievers should again be vulnerable. A play on the over here is looking good to me, with the selling of runs to get better odds also probably warranted.
FIREWORKS POSSIBLE IN MILWAUKEE
This is another game where the total has risen considerably since opening, and it may still be too low. The Dodgers have a lively offense, despite Rafael Furcal’s injury and Andruw Jones’ health, and they find ways to produce. Their high-scoring games in LA belie the fact that Dodger Stadium is actually thought of as a pitcher-friendly park.
Miller Park, on the other hand, can be quite hitter-friendly when the roof is closed, as it usually is around this time. The Brewers’ lineup has been underachieving all year, but they do look like they may be coming out of it now and if they do, they could do so in a major way.
Both starting pitchers here can be good at times, but can also get shelled, which they have been getting of late. The total at 9 I think is more likely than not to be eclipsed.
KC A SMALL FAVORITE WITH GREINKE
It’s getting to be a broken record, but it’s true; when Zack Greinke is on, no lineup can get to him. He’s been on all year, although he is showing signs that he may face some trouble in the future. He is starting to give up home runs, and his fly ball/ground ball ratio is not where it should be for him. Still, until he does start getting hit hard, I’m willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.
This game features underachieving Detroit, struggling Nate Robertson, and a surprisingly low home favorite line for KC. It may be worth a decent shot with a bet on Greinke to continue his excellence on the mound.