I've had 4 consecutive winning weeks and one .500 week with a record of 22-13. Let's continue with another winning week as we approach the MLB All Star Break. Here are some MLB picks for the weekend of July 9-10.
July 9th, 2011
Cincinnati (44-46) at Milwaukee (48-42)
We have a good pitching matchup as Johnny Cueto (5-3,1.77) takes the mound
against Shaun Marcum (7-3, 3.32). Cueto was the hard luck loser in his last
outing against the St. Louis Cardinals in a 1-0 defeat. Cueto has been
sensational all season, not giving up more than 3 runs in any outing. Shaun
Marcum will have the job of going up against the dynamic duo of Joey Votto and
Jay Bruce of the Reds.
Marcum has pitched well but has been kind of sketchy in
his last 2 outings. He's given up 3 home runs, 8 runs ,and 12 hits in 11
innings pitched. Milwaukee has won 3 straight and is exceptional at home. Look
for both pitchers to pitch well in a low scoring affair.
Oakland (39-51) at Texas (49-41)
I try to provide good betting value and stay from big MLB betting favorites but I'll have to break
that habit with this game. The Rangers have won 5 consecutive games, lead the
American League West, and defeated Oakland on Friday, 8-5. I'm going the sentimental route
in this game. Obviously, most of us are aware of the tragedy that took place in
Texas when Josh Hamilton threw a baseball in the stands to a father for his
son. Hamilton will be playing with a heavy heart for a while.
Texas played well
in their last game, scoring 7 runs in the first 2 innings. Colby Lewis pitches
against Brandon McCarthy of Oakland in this game. McCarthy has been on the
receiving end of poor run support. He has an ERA of 3.33 with a 1-5
record. (one of those games, he was hit hard. Before that McCarthy's ERA was in
the low 2's). Don't let the record fool you, McCarthy is a quite capable
pitcher. As they wear the black ribbons on their uniforms, the Rangers will win
6 straight after tonight. (not worth risking on the runline)
Mets (46-43) at San Fransisco (50-40)
The Mets were able to hold Ryan Vogelsong in check Friday night as the Giants
bullpen let a 2-2 tie go and the Mets came up with the victory 5-2 in the first game of the Giants & Mets series. The Mets
have been playing good baseball even without the great play of shortstop Jose
Reyes. San Fransisco's offense is one of the worst in the league. The Giants
are 27th in the league in runs with 3.61 per game.
Their team is a winning team
due to pitching. Their ace Tim Lincecum has been pitching poorly with a 6-7
record. Look for Lincecum to turn that around in this spot and go into the all
star break with a .500 record. He's too good a pitcher to play poorly for this
long. This will be a good spot for Lincecum if his team can come up with a few
San Fransisco -1.5
Baltimore (36-50) at Boston (53-35)
Clearly, Boston is the better team here and Baltimore is an awful 14-28 on the
road. The Red Sox are a heavy MLB odds favorite at -200 even the way that pitcher John
Lackey (5-8, 7.47) has been pitching. In his last outing, Lackey gave up 7 runs
and 9 hits in 2.1 innings. Lackey has had a good career against the O's. He's a
lifetime 10-4, 3.05 ERA. The total for the game is 11 and rightly so. Look for
Lackey to bounce back and have a good pitching performance. He's a career 30
games over .500. Boston rolls and the total (my pick) will be low.
Boston/Baltimore under 11
Sunday, July 10th, 2011
Tampa Bay (49-39) at New York (51-35)
In what seems to be a pitcher's duel in the Bronx, James Shields (8-6, 2.47)
takes the mound for the Rays as they face C.C. Sabathia (12-4, 2.90) and the
Yankees. The Yankees have been playing very solid ball as of late and Sabathia
has been lights out in his last 3 starts. In his last 3 starts, C.C. has given
up 1 run in 22 2/3 innings will walking 5 and striking out 33 batters! .C.C. is
playing the best baseball of his career. The Rays had an opportunity to play a
double header on Saturday due to a rainout on Friday and they declined. This
could possibly affect Derek Jeter getting his 3000th hit at home. Enough said.
Yankees roll in this spot.
Atlanta (53-37) at Philadelphia (56-33)
The Braves manage to play well year in, year out without the personnel of a
team like the Phillies. This season, the pitching is responsible. The Braves
are 1st in the league in ERA with a 3.03 ERA. Catcher Brian McCann has carried
a lot of the weight on his shoulders. He leads the team in home runs, runs
batted in, and batting average.
The Philadelphia Phillies are expected to win
it all and have the best starters in the majors. Cole Hamels (10-4, 2.40) takes
the mound for Philly You have a good team when your 4th starter has been
consistent and had 17 quality pitching performances out of 18 starts. Derek
Lowe is a very solid pitcher for Atlanta. At this point, I'm unaware of the
on the moneyline and the totals, therefore I'm going to stay safe and take
the hot Hamels and the moneyline.
Mets (46-43) at San Fransisco (50-40)
I always like to provide the Sunday Night Game
for the action junkie whether
it's a tough game or not. Mike Pelfrey (5-7, 4.64) faces off against Matt Cain
(7-5, 3.22). This is a game where I'd lean to the total because San Fransisco
plays low scoring games and Mike Pelfrey is unpredictable. One game, he could
look like Cy Young and the next game he could look like a AA minor league
Pelfrey has been pitching well as of late .In his last outing, he
pitched 6 innings of shutout ball, giving up just 5 hits. Pelfrey's record away
from Citi Field scares me. He's 2-7 with a 6.05 ERA. Look for Pelfrey to keep
this a competitive game against the tough Giants and Matt Cain. I'm assuming
the total will be low as it always is.
Mets/Giants - Under the total
Let's all take a deep breathe and exhale as we approach the all star break and
watch the Home Run Derby
and the MLB All Star Game
. After that, it's back to
business as the baseball season will become more interesting and hopefully I'll
continue to give you folks some good picks.