The betting odds have the Phillies again favored tonight as they
host the Colorado Rockies. Last night Oswalt’s return was ruined by poor
hitting again from the Phillies. They have to fix this and I believe they will.
Current Record: 26-10 +16.03 units
MLB free pick on the Philadelphia
Phillies as they take on the Colorado Rockies set to start at 7:05 PM ET.
The Philadelphia Phillies have lost four straight games all attributed to lack
of hitting and scoring runs. With the loss on Monday the Phillies became the last
team in the majors to have a three game losing streak. Great starting pitching
and a surprisingly strong bullpen is the dominant reason they are not a .500
team right now.
Weather could be a major factor for this game tonight. Heavy
showers and thunderstorms will be rolling through in the late afternoon and there
is a consistent 60% chance of rain for the entire evening. The Phillies have
the better bullpen and any rain delays would give them the upper hand. Given
that it is Colorado, MLB officials will do all they can to get this game in
The Phillies rank 16th in team batting, hitting .250 and have
batted a horrifying .186 over their past seven games. No wonder they are just
2-5 over those last seven games. The good news is that they have pounded left
handed pitching this season sporting a 9-2 record making 6.0 units for every one of your baseball betting units . Moreover, they are batting a solid .271 and scoring 4.6 runs per game
in 20 home games this season. So, with Cole Hamels going tonight I strongly
believe the Phillies offense will come to life for the next several games.
The Phillies bullpen sports a 2.91 ERA and a 1.386 in 41 games
spanning 105 1/3 innings of work. They have achieved these strong results
without their closer Brad Lidge and setup man Jose Contreras. The current
bullpen has converted 12 of 13 save opportunities this season for 92.3% save
The Colorado Rockies bullpen is not nearly as strong, posting a 3.77 ERA in
allowing 10 home runs in 19 road games spanning 57 1/3 innings of work.
Philadelphia ranks third in least bullpen innings worked with 105 1/3 while
Colorado ranks 20th having worked 125 1/3 innings in relief efforts. Despite
the fact that the Phillies bullpen was used in last night’s 2-1 loss to the
Cardinals they are far more rested and stronger than the overworked Rockies
My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator show a
high probability that the Phillies will win this game.
Supporting this graded
play is a system that has produced a record of 38-16 making 22.9 units per one
unit wagered for 70.4% winners since 2005. Play on any NL team that is allowing 3.8 or
less runs per game on the season and after a combined score of four runs or
less in two straight games. This system underscores my belief that the Phillis
offense will ignite and score far more runs than their ‘fourth ace’ starter
Cole Hamels will need.